Depending on the time horizon of your investment, given past
performance (Fama and French spreadsheet) I think the best strategy
could be as follows:
1/ If you plan to invest and hold for at least 25 yrs, then small cap
value stocks are your best bet : in the worst case scenario their
average return was 16.15% -the 25 yr period that goes to 1974-, which
was clearly higher than the return of any alternative portfolio
investment.
2/ if you buy and hold for 15-25 yrs, then a combination of small cap
value (let's say, 85%) and large cap value stocks (15%) would maximize
risk-adjusted returns.
3/ If you buy and hold 10-15 yrs, then 65% of small cap value, 20% of
large cap value, and 15% of a benchmark large cap index -lets say, a
low cost S&P indexed ETF- could be your best bet.
4/ 5-10 yrs: 40% small cap value, 30% large cap value, and 30% a
benchmark large cap index.
5/ less than 5 yrs: I wouldn't bother to invest in stocks at all...
I'm talking only about asset allocation between different types of
stock portfolios. Of course, this asset allocation should be
complemented with plenty of cash, i.e., savings accounts (the exact
amount of cash depends on factors such as non-investment income,
dividend yield of the portfolio, expenditures, reliability/stability
of income sources and expenditures, etc...).
It's not that every small cap growth company is a bad investment, but
that, on average, for each one of the succesful small cap growth
companies, there are many more which fail to live to their
expectations. On average, they are overpriced, that's the usual
problem with these stocks...
Spanish girls are usually very "simpaticas" (friendly) and feminine,
so I'm sure you will have lots of fun with your friend.
On Tue, Feb 26, 2008 at 4:10 PM, raylopez99 <raylo...@yahoo.com> wrote:
>