Six on "our" Economy: Unless Democrats Refute the Myth of a "Good Economy," Trump Likely to Win Second Term; Elizabeth Warre

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May 13, 2019, 5:48:00 PM5/13/19
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Six on "our" Economy: Unless Democrats Refute the Myth of a "Good Economy," Trump Likely to Win Second Term; Elizabeth Warren’s Plan to Break Up Big Tech Is Extremely Aggressive. Good.; BEWARE THE TIME BOMB IN THE TRUMP ECONOMY; Average Cost: One Ounce of High Quality Marijuana; Congress snuck dozens of tax breaks into the budget deal. Here's where they went; Wed, 5/15 - Capitalism and Democracy: Can They Coexist?







Elizabeth Warren’s Plan to Break Up Big Tech Is Extremely Aggressive. Good.

"On Friday morning, on Medium, the blogging platform of choice for all presidential candidates, Democratic presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren debuted a plan to “break up Big Tech.” Silicon Valley, she writes, has “too much power — too much power over our economy, our society, and our democracy.” The problem? Not enough competition. Taking a page from the “hipster antitrust” movement, Warren bemoans the “weak antitrust enforcement” that’s allowed tech megaplatforms to accumulate power without having “to compete as aggressively in key areas like protecting our privacy.”





But she’s got a plan to change all that. Warren’s proposal centers around what she believes have been two major obstacles to healthy market competition in Silicon Valley: (1) that mergers like Facebook’s acquisition of Instagram in 2012 have limited competition in the tech industry; and (2) that platforms that own “proprietary marketplaces,” like Amazon or the App Store, can also participate in those marketplaces, giving them intense competitive advantages.

To combat the first, Warren would appoint regulators charged with “reversing illegal and anti-competitive tech mergers” (and, no doubt, preventing new ones). To address the second, Warren would propose legislation that would designate tech platforms with a total global annual revenue of $90 million or more as “platform utilities,” subject to specific regulations. Once they reached revenues of $25 billion or more, they would no longer be able to participate in the marketplaces they own. (For example, Amazon would be obligated to spin off Amazon Basics.)"







“THE WORLD IS MORE LEVERAGED THAN IT HAS EVER BEEN BEFORE”: BEWARE THE TIME BOMB IN THE TRUMP ECONOMY

"Addicted to the unnaturally low interest rates Trump keeps pushing on the Fed, Wall Street has begun experimenting with risky new financial instruments. Sound familiar"

"Ironically, the very actions that Trump has taken, and that he believes are responsible for supercharging the economy (which I must hasten to point out was already doing pretty well under Barack Obama), will come back to haunt him. There’s always a price to pay when capitalists are allowed to roam free without supervision. But the real problem for Trump will come from his Fed gambits. By keeping interest rates at artificially low levels for so long (it’s been nearly 11 years and counting), debt investors are on a worldwide hunt for higher yields—the so-called “yield-hunger games”—forcing them to overpay for bonds, loans, and other debt-like instruments, and to take higher and higher risk without getting properly compensated for them.
When the economy turns—and it will; it always does—investors will lose hundreds of billions of dollars as a result of mispricing risk. “At this point, there’s more actual risk exposure than Trump would have you believe,” says one senior Wall Street banker, a friend of mine. “The world is more leveraged than it has ever been before at the corporate level, at the sovereign level, and collectively at the consumer level.”

Capitalism and Democracy: Can They Coexist?

                                                                   

Join us Wednesday for a timely discussion — reserve now!



Wednesday, May 15, 6:30 p.m.
Capitalism and Democracy: Can They Coexist? 


Capitalism is losing its luster. Most millennials in the U.S. now say they prefer socialism. Inequality is rising, as those at the top take more of economic winnings. Anger and despair have risen among many of those who are being left behind. Populism is on the rise, on the political left and right. Capitalism and democracy were once seen as symbiotically related: a broadly market economy embedded within a liberal, representative demos. Now the partnership is in question, in part because of the perceived failure of democratic institutions to generate shared economic prosperity. So: what’s next? State capitalism? Socialism? A basic income? An expert panel discusses these issues, featuring: Leslie McCall, presidential professor of sociology and political science and associate director of the Stone Center on Socio-Economic Inequality at The Graduate Center; Vanessa Williamson, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and author of Read My Lips: Why Americans Are Proud to Pay Taxes; and Andrew Yang, tech entrepreneur, philanthropist, and founder of Venture for America. Moderated by Richard Reeves, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, author of Dream Hoarders, and curator of the The Guardian’s “Broken Capitalism” series.

FREE; CLICK TO RESERVE

Presented with the Stone Center on Socio-Economic Inequality, in collaboration with The Guardian’s series “Broken Capitalism.”

Part of The Graduate Center’s series “The Promise and Perils of Democracy.” This project is made possible in part with support from the Carnegie Corporation of New York.

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Congress snuck dozens of tax breaks into the budget deal. Here's where they went.

"But temporary tax breaks aren’t unique to disasters, whether natural or economic.

Instead, Congress has authorized them for a menagerie of reasons, often at the behest of corporate or trade association lobbyists with the connections and financial means to bend lawmakers’ wills to their own and lubricate their pleas with a reliable flow of campaign cash.

Example: A “nuclear production tax credit” buried on page 90 of February’s budget bill. It’s poised to provide roughly $1 billion in benefits to Southern Company subsidiary Georgia Power alone — and seems unlikely to benefit anyone else.

Southern Company has aggressively courted federal officials, spending more than $106 million on federal lobbying efforts since 2010, according to the Center for Responsive Politics. Its executives and political action committee have also lavished lawmakers with campaign contributions and, in the case of Trump, spent $100,000 last year to help fund  his inauguration festivities.




“Sure enough, we were able to preserve our production tax credits,” Southern Company President Thomas A. Fanning boasted last month in a call with investors.

In December 2010, the bipartisan National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform — colloquially, the Simpson-Bowles Commission, after its co-chairmen — warned the body politic of what it considered dangerous government giveaways.

In a 65-page report, the commission excoriated special interest tax carve-outs and called on Congress to axe them.



“Corporate tax reform should eliminate special subsidies for different industries,” the Simpson-Bowles report stated. “Abolishing special subsidies will also create an even playing field for all businesses instead of artificially picking winners and losers.”

But the 18-member Simpson-Bowles commission, created by then-President Barack Obama and primarily composed of members of Congress, failed to attain 14 votes needed to formally endorse the report and send it to Congress for a vote. A subsequent House bill modeled after the Simpson-Bowles report suffered greater ignominy, with most members voting it down."





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