Six on 2020 Elections: What to watch at the Democratic debates in Detroit; “You Know Where She Stands”: Is Elizabeth Warren the One?; 9 New Dynamics Campaigns Are Expecting in the Second Democratic Debates; CNN and Jeff Zucker plot 2020 election cove
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"Here, based on interviews with leading strategists from across the party, are nine things that the best-informed viewers are expecting to see on Tuesday night.
1. History Suggests CNN Wants a Fiery, Conflict-Filled Debate
Ahead of the first Democratic primary debates last month, some campaign hands spent hours reviewing footage from the 2016 Republican primary debates that were also hosted by NBC properties or that had similar formats. They were looking to understand the rhythm of a ten-person debate and for hints about what kinds of questions might get asked. In the weeks leading up to this week’s edition, hosted by CNN, many did the same. This time, in the old CNN tape, they found fire and fury — questions designed to pit candidates against each other, touchy political flash points front and center, and no hesitation from the moderators to let the candidates fight it out themselves with little interruption. So it makes sense that Joe Biden’s team has already started punching back at his rivals. ..."
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The debate stage will also feature South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg and former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke, who are looking to occupy a similar lane as relatively non-ideological left-of-center candidates trying to bear the standard of generational change.
The debate also will be the national debut of Montana Governor Steve Bullock, who did not qualify for the first round of debates in June. Bullock is hoping to tout his credentials as a Democrat who consistently won elections in a red state. Sen. Amy Klobuchar will be hoping to strike similar notes as a Democrat who has been successful in the purple state of Minnesota.
Author Marianne Williamson — who became a viral sensation after her first debate appearance — will have to continue to build her profile, and Ohio Rep. Tim Ryan, whose campaign posted tepid fundraising numbers, needs a viral moment to have any hope of staying in the next round of debates in the fall, when the threshold to participate will be much higher.
Former Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel writes in a memo to the 2020 candidates:
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A new Quinnipiac poll released on Monday shows Joe Biden — who is slated to participate in Wednesday night’s debate — leading the pack with 34 percent, slightly rebounding from the hit he took after his first debate experience. Warren is in second place with 15 percent, followed by Kamala Harris with 12, Sanders at 11, and Buttigieg at 6.
THE AGE ISSUE — New York Times reporters Jonathan Martin and Katie Glueck report: “Why Joe Biden’s age worries some Democratic allies and voters: Interviews recently with more than 50 Democratic voters and party officials across four states, as well as with political strategists and some of Mr. Biden’s own donors, revealed significant unease about Mr. Biden’s ability to be a reliably crisp and effective messenger against Mr. Trump... many of those interviewed were most concerned about his agility, and linked it to the sensitive subject of Mr. Biden’s age.” [NYTimes]
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The campaign of Andrew Yang announced that he has qualified for the third and fourth debates… How Kamala Harris' courtroom experience prepared her for the debate stage… CNN’s Jeff Zucker once feted Harris. Will that help or hurt in 2020?... The peculiar, surprisingly effective campaign of Joe Sestak
2020 WATCH — Republican hopes of regaining their majority in the House of Representatives in next year’s elections seem to be on hold, judging from the recent Federal Election Commission (FEC) filings. According to The Associated Press, each of the 62 freshmen House Democrats, including the 39 Democrats who flipped GOP-held districts, have raised more money than their top Republican opponents. The same goes for the 31 incumbents from districts President Donald Trump won in 2016.
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