BTW, thanks for the link.
Question: Does anyone know of modeling for how quickly
"death" follows infection, or symptoms, or hospitalization?
Months ago, I picked up "about 5 days" for symptoms, 10 days
for hospitalization, and 20 days for death. But those were
estimates of the means, the scanty start of modeling, without
What I have noticed here (U.S.) is that the number of
"confirmed cases" fell in the second half of January (from
values previously over 200 thousand per day) to the present
level that is slightly under 100 thousand per day. Hospitalizations
are also down, from 125 thousand beds (total) to 80 thousand.
But the rate of deaths persists at over 3000 per day, from the
numbers I collect from Johns Hopkins. I figured that true death
rates could have been increased due to hospital crowding in
January, but those conditions have eased.
So, I'm wondering, what is going on. Maybe the lag is a
little more than I expected? Models?
- I wonder if the terrible data collection that owed to the T****
administration is being upgraded.