On 06/09/2017 00:13, george152 wrote:
>
> No. That is history.
> Inconvenient I know but history all the same.
> Betchley Park would have gotten nowhere had it not been for this initial
> discovery
>
No it would have howevr taken longer. You seem to be totally uninformed
of the sheer resources that were assigned to the operation at BP. This
was a huge effort which at its peak involved 10,000 people working in
absolute secrecy. This was an amazing accomplishment for any nation at
the time.
In fact the initial information about Enigma was obtained by the French
cryptographer Gustave Bertrand who passed it on to the Poles and the
British who both begun working on it. The Poles were quite successful
in reading messages on the original machine but were simply not able to
read those on the 3 rotor machine when those 3 were picked from a set of
5. They simply could not read German codes from 1938/39. Their system
required a manual process carried out by a group of talented
mathematicians and the sheer number of possible permutations with 3
rotors selected at random from a set of 5 was quite unworkable in a
timely manner
At the same tine Alan Turing had been working on his own method of
decoding Enigma using the German weakness of starting or ending messages
with a fixed set of test. Example start 'From OKW WEST'
He built an electromechanical device to break this by brute force. Now
the Polish information was extremely useful in building that device but
in Febuary 1940 the RN captured a set of enigma rotors from U-33 so they
had the real thing to work with. At best the Polish information shaved 3
months off the project. Probably less as the first Bombe was only
delivered to BP in March 1940. It was built by the British Tabulating
machine company and based on the commercial enigma machine which the
British acquired quite simply by purchasing it.
In short the British had some sucess with the Polish method in 1939 and
early 1940 but the Turing method is what made it possible on the
industrial scale. After a relatively short training period the operators
could process meaages by the hundred
In order to get useful intelligence you need to do the folliwng
1) Have large numbers of radio intecept stations to transcribe the signals
2) Have the facilties to decrpt hundreds of messages per day
3) Translate the decrpted messages from German , Italian Japanese etc
4) Filter them to identify those important in real time and pass them on
for analysis.
This bit is where the real skill came in. An example from a lecture at
BP stuck in my mind. During the Battle of the Atlantic when the
Luftwaffe were going to transfer FW-200 aircraft to a new operating base
they would send a particular officer to inspect it and see if it was
adequate. The Air Force sigint group realized this so when in 1942 he
was reported as having arrived at an airfield near Brest the RAF were
informed. They began operating Photo recon flights over the area and
when the FW-200 detachment arrived they were bombed on the ground a few
nights later apparently by stray bombs from a raid on the harbour at Brest.
5) Pass those up the command chain fro action.
This required thousands of people operating in complete secrecy all over
the world. By the end of 1943 the reality was that a a signal from
German HQ to Rommel was landing on Montgomery desk at pretty the same time.
As talented as they undoubtedly were a dozen Polish Mathematicians could
not achieve this on their own any more than Alan Turing could have.