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SAGE warns social distancing and masks will last until next YEAR because vaccines are 'not good enough' - and life WON'T return to normal after 'the great unlocking' on June 21

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Michael Ejercito

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Apr 6, 2021, 8:54:19 AM4/6/21
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http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9437441/Life-WONT-return-normal-June-21-Covid-vaccines-arent-good-SAGE-warns.html

SAGE warns social distancing and masks will last until next YEAR because
vaccines are 'not good enough' - and life WON'T return to normal after
'the great unlocking' on June 21
All legal limits on social contact were to be abolished by June 21 as
part of final stage of roadmap out of curbs
But No10's scientific experts said 'baseline measures' would need to
remain in place until this time next year
They are more optimistic about April 12, adding that opening pub gardens
and shops unlikely to cause spike
By CONNOR BOYD ASSISTANT HEALTH EDITOR FOR MAILONLINE

PUBLISHED: 11:03 EDT, 5 April 2021 | UPDATED: 13:31 EDT, 5 April 2021

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Social distancing will need to remain in place for another year even if
Boris Johnson's roadmap out of lockdown goes to plan, the Government's
top scientific advisers warned today.

Senior SAGE sources said that while the vaccines prevent the vast
majority of people from falling ill and dying from coronavirus, they
'are not good enough' to see all curbs lifted 'without a big epidemic'.

All legal limits on social contact were to be abolished by June 21 as
part of the final stage of the Prime Minister's four-step route out of
the crisis. It was hoped that festivals, sports events and nightclubs
would reopen and that families and friends could reunite in large
numbers after that date for the first time since winter 2020.

Read More

However, No10's experts claimed today that 'baseline measures',
including some form of social distancing and masks, would need to remain
in place until this time next year. They said they are 'reasonably
confident' that Covid will be manageable by then.

The AstraZeneca and Pfizer vaccines reduce Covid deaths by about 90 per
cent, but there are fears high infection rates could see the virus spill
into the small number of vulnerable people who haven't been jabbed or
for whom the vaccines don't work.

Despite the pessimistic comments, Mr Johnson announced tonight the
country is on track for the second stage of his lockdown easing plans on
April 12, which will see shops, gyms, hairdressers and beer gardens
reopen again.

Speaking at a Downing Street COVID news briefing, the Prime Minister
said: 'We see nothing in our present data that makes us think that we'll
have to deviate from the roadmap.' Cases and deaths are their lowest
levels in six months and more than half of the adult population has been
vaccinated with at least one dose of the jabs.

Papers released by SAGE today show the expert group is confident next
week's lockdown-easing measures will not pile pressure on the NHS, even
if there is a slight uptick in infections, because of the success of the
jab rollout.

But the advisory panel is less optimistic about future stages of the
roadmap, adding that it is 'highly likely that there will be a further
resurgence in hospitalisations and deaths'.

They said the reopening of pubs, cinemas and indoor hospitality - due to
happen on May 17 - could be delayed if vaccine uptake in the under-50s
dips below 85 per cent.

Modelling by Warwick University, Imperial College London and the London
School of Hygiene and Tropical medicine (LSHTM) warned of a late summer
surge after 'freedom day' in June which could rival levels seen this
January when hospitals were nearly overwhelmed.

SAGE's modelling of the Covid crisis after each step in Boris Johnson's
roadmap out of lockdown. The expert group experts transmission,
hospitalisations and deaths to remain low after April 12 but is less
certain about what effect later steps will have +5
SAGE's modelling of the Covid crisis after each step in Boris Johnson's
roadmap out of lockdown. The expert group experts transmission,
hospitalisations and deaths to remain low after April 12 but is less
certain about what effect later steps will have

Despite the pessimistic comments, Mr Johnson is set to announce the
country is on track for the second stage of his lockdown easing plans on
April 12, which will see shops, gyms, hairdressers and beer gardens
reopen again +5
Despite the pessimistic comments, Mr Johnson is set to announce the
country is on track for the second stage of his lockdown easing plans on
April 12, which will see shops, gyms, hairdressers and beer gardens
reopen again

+5
+5
In a series of SAGE files published today, the SPI-M subgroup warned of
a potential third wave as the country unlocks further later in the year.

It said: 'It is highly likely that there will be a further resurgence in
hospitalisations and deaths after the later steps of the roadmap. The
scale, shape, and timing of any resurgence remain highly uncertain.

'In most scenarios modelled any peak is smaller than the wave seen in
January 2021 however scenarios with little transmission reduction after
Step 4 or with pessimistic but plausible vaccine efficacy assumptions
can result in resurgences in hospitalisations of a similar scale to
January 2021.'

Warwick University modelling, which feeds into SPI-M's assumptions
submitted to SAGE, warned that hospitals could peak at around 10,000 in
the autumn. For comparison, there were 35,000 daily admissions at the
peak in January.

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What will Boris Johnson announce at today's 5pm press conference?
The next step of easing lockdown will go ahead as planned: The PM is
expected to confirm that non-essential shops, gyms, hairdressers and
libraries will reopen from April 12 while pubs and restaurants will be
allowed to serve customers outdoors.

A mass-testing scheme: Everyone in England will be promised two rapid
lateral flow tests every week, starting from April 9, in a bid to cut
the chain of transmission as lockdown rules are loosened.

Vaccine passports: The PM will unveil the initial findings of a
Whitehall review into the potential use of 'Covid status certification'.
The documents are likely to combine vaccination, testing and immunity
data and could be used to determine access to large-scale events. It is
unclear whether they could be used at pubs.

Foreign travel: A traffic light system will be unveiled by Mr Johnson
which will pave the way for non-essential international travel to
resume. Countries will be rated either green, amber or red based on
criteria like vaccination levels and infection numbers. Travel from
green countries will not require a quarantine period. The earliest
foreign holidays could resume is May 17.


However, worst-case scenario forecasting by researchers from the London
School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine - which presumes dips in vaccine
uptake and efficacy - could see admissions back up to around 30,000.

LSHTM says this would only be the case if two doses of AstraZeneca
provided just 31 per cent effectiveness against transmission and 85 per
cent against severe disease.

Real-world analysis by the Government shows the AZ vaccine reduces about
60 to 70 per cent of transmission and 90 per cent of severe cases. The
same is true for the Pfizer jab.

The success of the vaccine rollout means SAGE is not necessarily worried
about a rising R reproduction number or an uptick in cases - so long as
hospital admissions and deaths stay low.

But Government scientists will be concerned if the R rises to above 1.5
or if incidence rates provided by the Office for National Statistics
start to double every fortnight.

SAGE sources said this would indicate the virus is spiralling and drive
up the risk of vulnerable people not protected by the vaccines being
affected.

It comes as Britain's daily Covid cases were down 40 per cent today on
last week while deaths have risen slightly, official figures revealed.

Department of Health officials posted another 2,762 positive tests and
26 laboratory-confirmed fatalities. For comparison, 4,654 infections and
23 deaths were recorded last Monday.

Day-to-day figures fluctuate, however, and the overall trend is still
hurtling downwards thanks to lockdowns and the UK's successful vaccine
roll-out, which has now seen almost 31.6million Britons get jabbed.

Both infections and deaths figures over Easter are expected to be lower
because of incomplete data and a longer-than-usual reporting lag due to
the four-day bank holiday weekend.

Meanwhile, travel chiefs fear a summer holiday booking 'fiasco' as Boris
Johnson unveils a new traffic light system to allow international trips
to resume.

The Prime Minister's initiative will allow Britons to go on summer
holidays to countries with high vaccination rates.

The system will see destinations rated as red, amber and green using
criteria including the percentage of the population that has been
vaccinated, the rate of infection, any emerging variants and the
country's access to reliable data and genomic sequencing.

The criteria could result in European countries like France and Italy
being ruled out of bounds for British holidaymakers as parts of the EU
suffer spikes in cases and the bloc's vaccination drive continues to stall.

Industry bosses today warned they 'cannot go through the fiasco of
cancelling bookings because a system has been ill thought through' as
they highlighted the risk for potential customer 'confusion'.

At a press conference this evening, the Prime Minister will confirm the
next stage of the release from lockdown is on schedule – with shops,
gyms and hairdressers allowed to reopen from next week +5
At a press conference this evening, the Prime Minister will confirm the
next stage of the release from lockdown is on schedule – with shops,
gyms and hairdressers allowed to reopen from next week

They also warned that many European nations now face a race against time
to reduce infection rates and boost vaccination levels so they can make
it onto the green list before the summer season.

Under the Government's scheme, sunseekers returning from countries in
the green category will not have to isolate, although they will need to
have tests before and after they fly.

Those coming back from red list countries would have to quarantine in a
hotel for ten days, while arrivals from amber destinations will have to
isolate at home.

The Prime Minister will use a Downing Street press conference this
afternoon to re-affirm May 17 will be the earliest that foreign holidays
can resume and the new system comes into effect. But he will say he is
unable to advise yet whether any countries will be classed as green on
this date.

The traffic light scheme announcement came as the PM faces a growing
Tory revolt over the potential rollout of domestic vaccine passports.

`Britain's daily Covid cases fall by 40% in a week with 2,762 infections
- while deaths are up slightly to 26
Britain's daily Covid cases were down 40 per cent today on last week
while deaths have risen slightly, official figures revealed.

Department of Health officials posted another 2,762 positive tests and
26 laboratory-confirmed fatalities. For comparison, 4,654 infections and
23 deaths were recorded last Monday.

Day-to-day figures fluctuate, however, and the overall trend is still
hurtling downwards thanks to lockdowns and the UK's successful vaccine
roll-out, which has now seen almost 31.6million Britons get jabbed.

Both infections and deaths figures over Easter are expected to be lower
because of incomplete data and a longer-than-usual reporting lag due to
the four-day bank holiday weekend.


Many Conservative MPs support using the documents for international
travel but they oppose using them for day-to-day life, with Mr Johnson
targeting a domestic rollout of some sort by June 21.

Mr Johnson is expected to offer the House of Commons a vote on the
issue, in a move which could risk a damaging defeat, with Labour
continuing to express concerns about the documents and increasing
numbers of Tory backbenchers opposed to them.

Health Minister Edward Argar today said an increase in cases in Europe
showed why the UK must 'get this right' on travel rules in order to
avoid importing potentially vaccine-busting variants of the disease.

He told BBC Breakfast: 'We are seeing many of our friends in Europe
seeing an increase in infections. That is one of the reasons why we have
to be very careful that as we see an increase across the world in
infections that we get this right because one of the things we don't
want to see – and just as the vaccination programme is working so well –
is getting new variants or risking new variants getting imported into
this country.'

Holiday chiefs insisted there is still time before the summer for
European countries to get coronavirus case numbers under control again.

Asked what the most likely holiday destinations could be when travel is
allowed, Andrew Flintham, managing director for Tui UK and Ireland, told
the BBC: 'Cyprus have come out and been very positive, Greece and Turkey
have come out and been very positive, and Spain again.

'So I think all these European countries, whilst to a degree they are
struggling with their rates at the moment, we are still a significant
period away from the summer season properly opening up, we are probably
11 weeks away.

'The world has been changing on a weekly basis, never mind an 11-weekly
basis. So we are still positive about those destinations. We are also
positive that the Caribbean and some of those destinations will open up.'

Paul Charles, CEO of travel consultancy The PC Agency, told MailOnline
he believes a 'handful' of European countries will be on the UK's green
list in May with more to follow in June and July.

He said that last year many European countries had high infection rates
which were brought under control by the start of summer, adding: 'I
think the same will happen this year because there is also the added
bonus of the vaccine and the [EU] rollout will speed up. I am confident
that much of Europe will be accessible by early July.'

Martyn Sumners, executive director of the Association of Independent
Tour Operators, warned of the time pressures the industry faces, telling
The Times: 'The fact that we won't know until next month which countries
are permitted for travel will make it very difficult to get programmes
up and running. It does not happen overnight. There are many elements of
a holiday to organise.

'The travel industry cannot go through the fiasco of cancelling bookings
because a system has been ill thought through and leave customers and
operators angry because of the confusion.'

Many in the industry fear a repeat of last year when countries were
added to the travel red list at very short notice, leaving holidaymakers
scrambling to get home or cancel their trips.

It came as leading scientific adviser Professor Neil Ferguson said
testing everyone coming from Europe, with no exemptions, would be
'sensible' as he expressed concerns about the spread of the South
African variant on the continent.

HeartDoc Andrew

unread,
Apr 6, 2021, 11:41:01 AM4/6/21
to
The only healthy way to stop the pandemic in the UK, and other
places is by rapidly ( http://bit.ly/RapidTestCOVID-19 ) finding
out at any given moment, including even while on-line, who among us
are unwittingly contagious (i.e pre-symptomatic or asymptomatic) in
order to http://bit.ly/ConvinceItForward (John 15:12) for them to call
their doctor and self-quarantine per their doctor in hopes of stopping
this pandemic. Thus, hoping for the best while preparing for the
worst-case scenario of the "UK variant mutations" **and** others like
the Brazilian, Californian, South African & "cluster-5 mink mutations"
(read more via Google) rendering current vaccines ineffective.

Indeed, I am wonderfully hungry ( http://bit.ly/RapidTestCOVID-19 )
and hope you, Michael, also have a healthy appetite too.

So how are you ?








...because we mindfully choose to openly care with our heart,

HeartDoc Andrew <><
--
Andrew B. Chung, MD/PhD
Cardiologist with an http://bit.ly/EternalMedicalLicense
2016 & upwards non-partisan candidate for U.S. President:
http://bit.ly/WonderfullyHungryPresident
and author of the 2PD-OMER Approach:
http://bit.ly/HeartDocAndrewCare
which is the only **healthy** cure for the U.S. healthcare crisis

BARRY ish shick old jew paedophile BARRY Z. SHEIN of 700 Washington St B'righton Mass

unread,
Apr 6, 2021, 12:27:35 PM4/6/21
to
On Tue, 6 Apr 2021 05:54:26 -0700, NOT Michael Ejercito
<MEje...@HotMail.com> wrote:

>http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9437441/Life-WONT-return-normal-June-21-Covid-vaccines-arent-good-SAGE-warns.html
>
>SAGE warns social distancing and masks will last until next YEAR because
>vaccines are 'not good enough' - and life WON'T return to normal after
>'the great unlocking' on June 21

Has the Queen Mary Parking Lot reopened for your weekend 'activities',
gook?

Peeler

unread,
Apr 6, 2021, 1:12:09 PM4/6/21
to
On Tue, 06 Apr 2021 17:27:33 +0100, clinically insane, pedophilic, serbian
bitch Razovic, the resident psychopath of sci and scj and Usenet's famous
sexual cripple, making an ass of herself as "inge23...@aol.con", farted
again:


>>http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9437441/Life-WONT-return-normal-June-21-Covid-vaccines-arent-good-SAGE-warns.html
>>
>>SAGE warns social distancing and masks will last until next YEAR because
>>vaccines are 'not good enough' - and life WON'T return to normal after
>>'the great unlocking' on June 21
>
> Has the Queen Mary Parking Lot reopened for your weekend 'activities',
> gook?

What are you hallucinating about again, you endlessly projecting, sick,
perverted swine?

--
Pedophilic dreckserb Razovic answering a question whether there
is any "meaningful" debate to lower the age of consent:
"If there isn't, there should be."
MID: <ZAMUE.174724$Qv2....@usenetxs.com>

Michael Ejercito

unread,
Apr 7, 2021, 9:36:11 AM4/7/21
to
I am wonderfully hungry!


Michael

HeartDoc Andrew

unread,
Apr 7, 2021, 11:18:10 AM4/7/21
to
MichaelE wrote:
> I am wonderfully hungry!



While wonderfully hungry in the Holy Spirit, Who causes (Deuteronomy
8:3) us to hunger, I note that you, Michael, not only don't have
COVID-19 but are rapture (Luke 17:37) ready and pray (2 Chronicles
7:14) that our Everlasting (Isaiah 9:6) Father in Heaven continues to
give us "much more" (Luke 11:13) Holy Spirit (Galatians 5:22-23) so
that we'd have much more of His Help to always say/write that we're
"wonderfully hungry" in **all** ways including especially caring to
http://bit.ly/ConvinceItForward (John 15:12 as shown by
http://bit.ly/RapidTestCOVID-19 ) with all glory (
http://bit.ly/Psalm117_ ) to GOD (aka HaShem, Elohim, Abba, DEO), in
the name (John 16:23) of LORD Jesus Christ of Nazareth. Amen.

Laus DEO !

Be hungrier, which really is wonderfully healthier especially for
diabetics and other heart disease patients:

http://bit.ly/HeartDocAndrewToutsHunger (Luke 6:21a) with all glory to
GOD, Who causes us to hunger (Deuteronomy 8:3) when He blesses us
right now (Luke 6:21a) thereby removing the http://bit.ly/HeartVAT
from around the heart

...because we mindfully choose to openly care with our heart,

HeartDoc Andrew <><
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