On Feb 3, 9:54 pm, Nick <
nick150...@yahoo.co.uk> wrote:
> On Feb 3, 9:24 pm, John Hall <
nospam_no...@jhall.co.uk> wrote:
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> > In article <
9p2va7Fgn...@mid.individual.net>,
> > Phil Layton <
t3...@hotmail.com> writes:
>
> > >I cannot remember such certainty about snow arriving as with the
> > >current forecast. 10cms. Models in agreement for 3 runs in a row.
>
> > >What can go wrong ?
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> > The "10cms" is very much an upper limit, I think. Looking at the 12Z NAE
> > and GFS runs, from their predictions for "Snow accu." at 6am on Sunday
> > it looks to me as if we may not get more than a centimetre or two of
> > probably rather wet snow in our part of Surrey:
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> >
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts
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> > with the deepest accumulations being in northern England and East
> > Anglia. But of course it's very much on a knife-edge and could well
> > change again.
> > --
> > John Hall
> > "The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism
> > by those who have not got it."
> > George Bernard Shaw
>
> I have to admit I never get too excited about any possible snow from
> the west down here as fronts from the west force the wind into an
> unfavourable (maritime) direction meaning a pre-precipitation thaw
> tends to invariably occur. I don't think I can recall a single decent
> snowy episode from the west in 30 years of living in southern England.
> All decent snow seems to have come on fronts or troughs from the north
> or east.
Snow conditions apply once a cyclone to the west of an anticyclone are
stationed so as to act together directing mixed air temperatures from
the north over the islands.
There is no more to it than that.
People living near the Exitdoor and points east from there are likely
to have the draught hauled in from different directions but presumably
the same physics applies?
The current MetO currents show the series of cyclones coming out of
Darkest Murca belong to the series giving rise to fears concerning Mt
Cleveland in Alaskya. The set up is similar to that required for
tornadic cell evolution in them thar states:
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http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/surface_pressure.html
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http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html
Dedicated Weatherlawyer fans will note the parallel nature of the
fronts shown on the MetO North Atlantic runs are giving rise to
duplicates from you know where and you know whats:
>
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php
It will be interesting to surmise the behaviour of the aquifers
involved. You may call them subduction zones if you like. (I
appreciate not many of you are in full command of your brains.)