Aubrey & Kurzweil
T
to reach 1000 years is already born, anyone at 40-50 now have a 50% chance
to reach 1000 years. (Aubrey is 45:)
Kurzweil means Aubrey is conservative, within 15 years we will add a new
extra year for every year we live.
LL/
T
Keith F. Lynch
It would be nice, but I've heard it before.
In 1978, Robert Anton Wilson wrote:
According to the actuarial tables used by insurance companies, if
you are in your 20s now you probably have about 50 years more to
live. If you are in your 40s, you have only about 30 years more and
if you are in your 60s your life-expectancy is only about 10 years.
These tables are based on averages, of course not everybody dies
precisely at the median age of 72.5 years but these insurance tables
are the best mathematical guesses about how long you will be with
us. Right? Wrong. Recent advances in gerontology (the science
of aging, not to be confused with geriatrics, the treatment of the
aged) have led many sober and cautious scientists to believe that
human lifespan can be doubled, tripled or even extended indefinitely
in this generation. If these researchers are right, nobody can
predict your life expectancy. All the traditional assumptions on
which the actuarial tables rest are obsolete. You might live a
thousand years or even longer.
He wrote that at age 46. He died two years ago, at age 74, just about
exactly the actuarialy expected age.
--
Keith F. Lynch - http://keithlynch.net/
Please see http://keithlynch.net/email.html before emailing me.