On 9/6/22 21:53, Peter Nyikos wrote:
> The line segment joining successive elements is given a number estimating degree of disparity,
> and the numbers are added together to compute the length of the path between them.
>
This was correct because I was trying to write a computer program or
algorithm that would take a CT scan of a fossil while still in the rock,
and attempt to find the placement of that fossil within the evolutionary
tree based on common attributes. In this case, the age of the fossil
would either be ignored or considered one attribute among many.
So the fundamental question is can two species, a billion years
separated, be closely related, or how closely related and how do we
define relatedness. Ideally, we know two individuals are closely
related because they share genetic material. But I don't even know what
that means and admittedly, I know less now than I did 20 years ago as an
undergrad. The older I get, the stupider I become.
Two siblings, in theory, share about 33%-50% +- random variation, of
their genetic material, since they have the same parents. It is
possible, although HIGHLY unlikely, that they share zero DNA. Or they
are some form of a twin and share 100% of their DNA.
Fine. Now Random Chimps and Humans seem to have a closer relationship
than siblings. They share 98.6% of their DNA, or so I see reported? So
in the context of siblings, I am not at all sure what that means.
Aside from that, we don't have genetic material for most species. All
we have is a fraction of skeletal material or a soft tissue imprint.
So for evidence we have
A) incomplete phenotyped characteristics
B) an imperfect time line or age of a fossil
And that is it.
The tools we have to analyze this include a few algorithms and to attach
your ego to any of them, given the limits of the data, is a colossal
error, IMO. Every way we analyze something gives us a different window
to view our specimens and their relationships to each other. These
algorithms themselves are grounded into a few evolving sciences and
mathematics which includes the study of Genetics, Geography, Cosmetology
and Astronomy, Biological computational statistics, and more to name a few.
And then we have the problem with definitions and the understanding of
concepts. Sometimes one has to step back and ask, what exactly am I
trying to learn here?
Are two species closely related despite 300 million years of evolution
if they genetics have been largely conserved other that time? There is
a molecular clock but the functional expression of genes might well be
well preserved in two species separated by by a long period of time.
Hydrothermal vent microbial organism might be more closely related to
their ancient ancestors from a billion years ago than a Moerithriun to
an African Elephant, let alone an Asian Elephant to most species in
Paenungulata. It is suggested that a Hyrax is more basal and an African
elephant, and I would ask, "how so since they are both existing species
and Elephants didn't spring from a modern Hyrax".
So the language itself, here, gets very ambiguous which fuels
disagreements and trolls alike.
And added to this amphibological language a new problem seems to have
emerged recently with core elements of evolutionary theory. It has been
a conceit that a species evolves traits to conform with its environment
through natural selection. Therefor, in theory at least, any individual
could prove to be a node to a new species if they have a mutation that
gives its linage an advantage. There has been shown to be a HUGE
conceit as we have learned from the study of the evolution of Homo and
other species. It has come to be understood that mutations that give
advantages can and do spring up multiple times, even among closely
related species... the same mutation. And then we share DNA material
outside of reproduction. And then mutation will fade if unneeded and
spring up again. Instead of a nice tree, evolution might well look more
like a river delta. Or a suppressed shared gene might become active in
two different lineages, or two species might interbreed?
Everything wants to become a crab...
None of the above is my own original ideas. They all come from reading
scientific literature both in the popular press and in peer reviewed
journals.
So are all Ceratopsidae from the same common ancestor? Maybe, likely,
not definitely.
The last common ancestor of Pachyrhinosaurus... that might be true. But
as we get more evidence of this transition, we might find that more than
once species of closely related dinosaurs evolved similarly, utilizing
similar mutations. Finding a Least common ancestor might be unknowable.
But that might not make this method of defining families and orders and
genus, any less useful. We need to use some definition.
No maybe all these ambiguities have been solved in Paleontology, I
don't know. But I do know that over my lifetime many streams of thought
within the science has come and gone and evolved. I wouldn't take a
theological attachment to any system for the analysis of the
evolutionary procession of species. Nature tends to surprise us and
these are all just tools of logic to help us understand the ancient past
and the nature of biological systems.
> The concept of "more closely related" then could be given a whole new meaning --
> or, rather, an old meaning but now quantified. We would be able to say that vertebrate A
> in the following example is MUCH more closely related to B than it is to C even though
> the LCA of A and B is strictly ancestral to the LCA of B and C.
I have no idea what this means, FWIW.