Fw: What to expect as El Niño approaches

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Bill Sabey

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May 17, 2026, 10:08:00 AMMay 17
to SC PA Chapter Climate Change Team

Theodore Keeping, a wildfire researcher at the University of Reading in England, said firefighters in those regions are bracing for a severe year, potentially facing some of the most damaging fire conditions seen in recent history. He noted that the combination of El Niño on top of ongoing warming has driven a “whiplash” between extreme moisture and extreme drought in some regions. Grasses and brush thrive during heavy rains, then dry out quickly when the heat returns, turning into combustible fuel.
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Keeping said that a strong El Niño “can have a major effect on wildfire risk” appearing later this year, which could increase the likelihood of severe hot and dry conditions in Australia, as well as the northwestern U.S. and Canada, and the Amazon rainforest. 

Even if El Niño leads to “very extreme conditions later this year, it’s not a reason to freak out,” Otto said. “It comes and goes. Climate change, by contrast, gets worse and worse and worse as long as we do not stop burning fossil fuels. So climate change is the reason to freak out.”


----- Forwarded Message -----
From: "ICN Sunday Morning" <newsl...@insideclimatenews.org>
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Sent: Sun, May 17, 2026 at 5:45 AM
Subject: What to expect as El Niño approaches

ICN Sunday Morning

Go behind the scenes with senior editor Corey Mitchell and reporter Bob Berwyn as they break down what to expect from the looming El Niño.

Corey Mitchell and Bob Berwyn

Scientists said this week that a developing El Niño is likely to amplify heatwaves, droughts and floods this year. But it’s not the biggest culprit of climate extremes.

The consequences of a moderate or strong El Niño today are more damaging than those of similar events just a few decades ago because of the long-term warming caused by burning fossil fuels.

Bob, who covers climate science and international climate policy for ICN, explains what El Niño is and how it changes weather around the world, whether we’re now entering a period when record-breaking weather becomes normal, and if the impacts of El Niño this year could be permanent.

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