http://blogs.wsj.com/marketbeat/2012/02/14/natural-gas-is-rallying-the-big-question-is-why/
Natural gas is staging another big rally today even as little has
changed fundamentally to warrant such a huge move.
Traders are potentially covering short positions following the
previous session’s decline. Prices remain pressured by weak demand and
record inventories.
Weather outlooks still point to modest heating demand and production
remains high. Cameron Horwitz of US Capital Advisors says weather
forecasts have improved “fractionally” from yesterday.
Traders may be looking ahead to Thursday’s inventory report. One year
ago, inventories saw only a modest draw from storage, which means this
week’s EIA data could show a narrowing of the massive storage surplus.
“On the margin, those things are supportive from a psychological
standpoint,” he says. But Horwitz cautions not to “kid ourselves,” as
storage is still likely to be full by late summer.
March futures rise 3.9% to $2.525/MMBtu.