Operational extended range forecast for next two weeks:
Considering various large-scale environmental features, climatology and model guidance, it is inferred that there is likelihood of:
(a) the existing upper air cyclonic circulation / low pressure area over southeast Arabian Sea is likely to move northwestwards during next two days with no significant intensification.
(b) existing upper air cyclonic circulation over eastcentral & adjoining southeast BoB is likely to move north-northwestwards during next 4-5 days.
(c) development of a fresh Upper air cyclonic circulation over eastcentral AS off Karnataka and adjoining Konkan coasts during first half of week 2.