Extended Range Outlook dated 21st May, 2026

[cyclone warning division]

Respected Sir/Madam,

 

I.          Inference:

Considering various large-scale environmental features, climatology and model guidance, it is inferred that there is likelihood of:

(a)  development of an upper air cyclonic circulation / low pressure area over eastcentral Arabian Sea during first half of week 1 (around 24^th May) which may move northward during subsequent 3-4 days.

(b)  formation of another fresh upper air cyclonic circulation over southeast Arabian Sea around 30^th May.

(c)  development of another upper air cyclonic circulation/ low pressure area over eastcentral BoB during end of week 1 or beginning of week 2 (around 28^th -29^th May) with gradual west-northwestward movement.

 

Kindly find the detailed outlook in the attachment.

 

With regards,

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Cyclone Warning Division

India Meteorological Department,

Mausam Bhavan, Lodi Road,

New Delhi-110003

(011)-2434 4377 (during Normal days)

(011)-2434 4599 (during Cyclonic systems)

(website:www: rsmcnewdelhi.imd.gov.in)

[cyclone warning division]

Respected Sir/Madam,

Operational extended forecast for next two weeks:

Considering various large-scale environmental features, climatology and model guidance, it is inferred that there is likelihood of:

(a)  existing upper air cyclonic circulation at 700 hPa over Goa & adjoining eastcentral Arabian Sea to move north-northwestwards during next 4-5 days towards northeast AS off South Gujarat-North Konkan coasts with no further intensification.

(b)  existing upper air cyclonic circulation over North Andaman Sea to move north-northwestwards along Myanmar-South Bangladesh coasts during next 3 days with no further intensification.

(c)  development of a fresh upper air cyclonic circulation / low pressure area over North BoB towards end of week 2.

Kindly find the detailed outlook in the attachment.

 

With regards,

[cyclone warning division]

Respected Sir/Madam, 

Operational extended forecast for next two weeks:

Considering various large-scale environmental features, climatology and model guidance, it is inferred that there is no likelihood of cyclogenesis (formation of depression) during the entire forecast period. However, there is likelihood of:

(a)  existing upper air cyclonic circulation over westcentral Bay of Bengal and adjoining north coastal Andhra Pradesh in lower tropospheric levels  to persist during next 1-2 days with possible westwards movement.
(b)  development of another fresh upper air cyclonic circulation over eastcentral Arabian Sea off Karnataka coast during the later half of week1.

(c)  development of a fresh upper air cyclonic circulation / low pressure area over North BoB towards end of week 2.

Kindly find the detailed outlook in the attachment.

 

With regards,

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