On 02.02.2024 20:04, MH wrote:
> On 2024-02-02 07:53, Werner Pichler wrote:
>> On 02.02.2024 01:22, Binder Dundat wrote:
>>> Unlike Afcon, I can tell you who makes the final, Japan and S Korea
>>> will make the final.
>>
>> South Korea hasn't won the competition since 1960, so the title would be
>> quite the feather in Klinsmann's crown.
>
> Another late comeback - 96th minute penalty , then OT winner for South
> Korea. Poor Australia.
Nine lives.
> I am getting really suspicious about the number of games decided by
> penalties awarded in time added on these days. Anyone keeping track on
> how many are straightforward, and how many are controversial VAR awarded
> ones?
Nothing controversial about this one, at least
https://streamin.me/v/dc25b5c8
Lewis Miller, from Hibs, then also conceded the free-kick at the edge
of the box that Son curled in for the extra time winner.
> Is it just confirmation bias, or are far more penalties awarded late in
> games. Is it naive to assume their distribution is or should be fairly
> random in games? I guess bad tackles would happen more frequently as
> players tire, but a huge fraction of of pens seem to be for "hand-balls"
> (some extremely harsh based on old definitions of handball, or even new
> ones), and that would be more likely to be random.
Well, there's also the length of the VAR checks which makes it more
likely that the penalty won't be taken until far into stoppage time.
> As for predicting the outcome of the tournament, I would not discount
> Iran. Sure their group was easy and they did not win convincingly in the
> round of 16, but Japan has been conceding a lot of goals for one of the
> stronger teams in the region.
>
> Anyone fancy Uzbekistan?
Also, best ever Asian Cup for Jordan, with a squad from mostly their
domestic league. Can't say I know anything about them.
Ciao,
Werner