On Feb 8, 8:48 pm, Steve Willner <
swill...@nhcc.net> wrote:
> SW> 5H seems obvious unless playing against very timid opponents.
>
> On 2012-02-07 8:16 AM, Eric Leong wrote:
>
> > Why is it obvious the opponents can make some high level contract?
> > Why is it obvious if the opponents can't make some high level contract that 5H would be safe?
>
> Neither of these is obvious, nor is either relevant to whether 5H is
> obvious or not. I'm sure we've all opened 1NT with a balanced 16-count
> and ended up in the soup. It happens, but it doesn't mean the opening
> bid wasn't obvious.
>
> There are a variety of approaches for deciding how high to preempt, but
> the best one I've seen is to make the bid where you don't know what you
> want the opponents to do. With the 9-card heart suit, if I open 4H and
> opponents double me, I'll be ecstatic. If they bid, I'll be unhappy.
> That means 4H isn't high enough. If I start with 5H, I have no idea
> what's best for them. I like that a lot better.
>
> On the actual deal, 5H might have an unexpected benefit. After the
> Lightner double, partner might reason that 5H is more attractive with
> 0931 shape than with 3901 and find the spade lead. No guarantees on
> this or anything else when it comes to preempts, of course!
>
> Will: how did 6C= score? Any mp difference from 6Cx= if partner leads a
> diamond or a trump?
6C making was a tie for top. 6CX making would have been a clear top.
although still not huge. Beating 6C, doubled or not and it would have