On 9/14/2022 5:55 PM, Stick Rice wrote:
> Well I did a rollout with ++/++ and a gigantic move filter and the
position is worth about +0.915 aka a monster take.
Wait, what position are we talking about? I just did an
XGR+/XGR+/Gigantic rollout and it came out to a borderline
pass. See below.
I should mention that I just bought a new laptop and installed
version 2.19.211.pre-release, which is not the version I've been
using for the past few years, but I doubt that makes a difference.
I did notice, however, that when I copied and pasted the position,
it mangled the XGID in the same way that I've seen Paul's XGIDs
mangled, and I had to correct it manually.
XGID=-B--A-DACA--dC---d-dc-----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
X:Player 2 O:Player 1
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O O |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X X |
| O X X X | | X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 109 O: 123 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 78.63% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.71% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.573, Double=+1.149
Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.890 (-0.110)
Double/Take: +1.016 (+0.016)
Double/Pass: +1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout:
842 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Gigantic
Confidence No Double: ± 0.006 (+0.884..+0.896)
Confidence Double: ± 0.008 (+1.007..+1.024)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 9 hours 19 minutes
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
XGID=-B--A-DACA--dC---d-dc-----:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:1X:Player 2 O:Player 1
0
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O O |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X X |
| O X X X | | X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 109 O: 123 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 78.63% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.71% (G:0.01% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.890 (-0.110)
Double/Take: +1.016 (+0.016)
Double/Pass: +1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout:
842 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Gigantic
Confidence No Double: ± 0.006 (+0.884..+0.896)
Confidence Double: ± 0.008 (+1.007..+1.024)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
---
Tim Chow