X has ten checkers in the zone and has escaped both of his back
checkers. He has a huge 30-pip lead. I would have dropped this
for money, and at 3-away/3-away the drop seemed even clearer.
But XG takes this! I was amazed. It seems that O's strong board
gives her just enough counterchances. X might not clean up his
blot on the 4pt, and even if he does, he'll be a bit cautious of
hitting loose because a return hit could turn the game around.
Analyzed in Rollout
Player Winning Chances: 64.06% (G:30.69% B:0.51%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.94% (G:8.30% B:0.56%)
Player Winning Chances: 63.66% (G:32.71% B:0.85%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.34% (G:8.26% B:0.65%)
No double: +0.717 (-0.220)
Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.063)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.012 (+0.705..+0.729)
Confidence Double: ± 0.020 (+0.917..+0.957)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2