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Timothy Chow

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Sep 25, 2021, 7:50:52 PM9/25/21
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XGID=--A--BDaCBa-bBa--b-cb-b-aA:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O O |
| X O | | O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| X | | X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O O X X O | | X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 129 O: 121 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 32

---
Tim Chow

Timothy Chow

unread,
Sep 29, 2021, 10:25:44 PM9/29/21
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Hitting seemed way too loose to me, but a blot in the opponent's board
covers over a multitude of sins.

1. Rollout¹ Bar/23 13/10* eq:-0.273
Player: 43.41% (G:17.61% B:1.39%)
Opponent: 56.59% (G:26.01% B:2.26%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (-0.285..-0.261) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/23 8/5 eq:-0.442 (-0.169)
Player: 38.02% (G:10.08% B:0.52%)
Opponent: 61.98% (G:14.70% B:0.41%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.453..-0.431) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=--A--BDaCBa-bBa--b-cc-b--A:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O |
| X O | | O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| X | | X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O O X X O | | X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 129 O: 125 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 32

1. Rollout¹ Bar/23 8/5 eq:-0.564
Player: 34.74% (G:8.91% B:0.46%)
Opponent: 65.26% (G:14.96% B:0.55%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.572..-0.556) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/23 6/3 eq:-0.589 (-0.025)
Player: 34.38% (G:8.10% B:0.34%)
Opponent: 65.62% (G:16.02% B:0.53%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.596..-0.581) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ Bar/23 13/10* eq:-0.590 (-0.026)
Player: 36.49% (G:13.09% B:0.78%)
Opponent: 63.51% (G:28.50% B:2.66%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (-0.603..-0.578) - [0.0%]

¹ 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

MK

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Oct 18, 2021, 3:51:22 AM10/18/21
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Yes, definitely
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