Early game 64 to play

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Timothy Chow

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May 20, 2022, 8:21:43 AMMay 20
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XGID=--aa-AEBB---cD---daeA-----:1:-1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O X | +---+
| X O | | O | | 2 |
| X O | | O | +---+
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| O | | X |
| O X X | | X |
| O X X | | X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 137 O: 153 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 64

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Tim Chow

Timothy Chow

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May 23, 2022, 9:12:51 AMMay 23
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They say that discretion is the better part of valor. It's not so
common for X to want to give up his slotted 5pt this early in the
game when O has no board, but X's main asset in this position is
his racing lead, and leaving the 5pt slotted risks losing that lead.

1. Rollout¹ 20/14 5/1 eq:+0.190
Player: 63.39% (G:11.68% B:0.41%)
Opponent: 36.61% (G:7.73% B:0.27%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.181..+0.198) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 20/10 eq:+0.085 (-0.104)
Player: 60.02% (G:12.05% B:0.49%)
Opponent: 39.98% (G:9.16% B:0.30%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (+0.075..+0.095) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 13/7 5/1 eq:+0.051 (-0.139)
Player: 57.42% (G:17.45% B:0.73%)
Opponent: 42.58% (G:11.68% B:0.45%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (+0.041..+0.061) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

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Tim Chow
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