The reason I might hold is that, as I stated in another thread, I sometimes have trouble
with the XG app on my computer so I sometimes roll accidentally while trying to double.
It's incredibly annoying.
It's actually a clear pass, according to XG's rollout which is what I thought. I was surprised
by XG's take. I didn't say that XG muffed the take. I said that XG made the wrong decision.
XG wrongly took when it should have passed. However, XG's bad take was validated when
it beat me. My memory is that I rolled a 53 which I think is an excellent roll. We can't quite
call it a joker though because I'm a big fave to make the 5 point board. I played this 19/14 7/4
which I think is correct. XG rolled its miracle 61 to leap my prime. I then missed the triple shot and
XG doubled me out.
XG's board is currently strong but it's a big fave to weaken soon. XG does get more gammons than
I do, but only slightly more.
Analyzed in Rollout
No redouble
Player Winning Chances: 79.73% (G:4.21% B:0.06%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20.27% (G:5.98% B:0.03%)
Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 80.99% (G:4.67% B:0.11%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 19.01% (G:5.98% B:0.04%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.577, Double=+1.215
Cubeful Equities:
No redouble: +0.874 (-0.126)
Redouble/Take: +1.147 (+0.147)
Redouble/Pass: +1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.007 (+0.867..+0.881)
Confidence Double: ± 0.010 (+1.138..+1.157)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 18 minutes 04 seconds
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10