Another Axelisation

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peps...@gmail.com

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May 14, 2022, 7:14:30 AMMay 14
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I suspect most good players would use EPC estimates here,
but I Axelised. I was fairly sure XG would take, but not at all sure of
my double. My PR was 0.48 for this game.
It should really be called my AR instead of my PR.

Paul

XGID=---ABA-------------ba-----:1:1:1:00:1:3:3:0:10
X:Daniel O:eXtremeGammon


Score is X:1 O:3. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | | +---+
| | | X | | 2 |
| | | X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 16 O: 17 X-O: 1-3
Cube: 2, X own cube
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in 4-ply
Player Winning Chances: 70.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.411, Double=+0.822

Cubeful Equities:
No redouble: +0.602 (-0.114)
Redouble/Take: +0.715
Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.285)

Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
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