Google Groups no longer supports new Usenet posts or subscriptions. Historical content remains viewable.
Dismiss
Groups keyboard shortcuts have been updated
Dismiss
See shortcuts

An unsuccessful attempt to cheat

25 views
Skip to first unread message

peps...@gmail.com

unread,
Feb 15, 2024, 2:31:10 PM2/15/24
to
The position below really looked like a pass to me.
So why did I take it?
Because XG hadn't improved much from previous positions
so I reasoned that if it was ND before, it wouldn't be a drop now.
I think it's cheating to use this type of reasoning that I used but
I sometimes get too competitive against XG to resist it.
My cheating seemed vindicated by the analysis which did give
a take (but very thin).
However, it rolled out to a drop which is what it looked like to me
all along.
Cheating attempt failed.

Paul

XGID=-ACCBBB--------AbbbdcAb---:0:0:-1:00:0:0:0:11:10
X:XG Roller+ O:Daniel

Score is X:0 O:0 11 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O O O O O |
| | | O O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X X |
| X X X | | X X X |
| O X X X | | X X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 93 O: 82 X-O: 0-0/11
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action

Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 76.43% (G:5.99% B:0.15%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.57% (G:3.33% B:0.05%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 77.06% (G:5.95% B:0.14%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.94% (G:3.59% B:0.06%)

Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.557, Double=+1.143

Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.709 (-0.291)
Double/Take: +1.043 (+0.043)
Double/Pass: +1.000

Best Cube action: Double / Pass

Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.003 (+0.707..+0.712)
Confidence Double: ± 0.009 (+1.034..+1.052)

Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%

Duration: 58.7 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
0 new messages