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Early blitz cube 3
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Timothy Chow
Dec 21, 2023, 9:39:40 AM12/21/23
to
Well, it's not so early in the game, actually, but whatever.
XGID=aa-C-BC----BbDb-Ac-bbb----:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O X O | | O O O |
| X O O | | O O O |
| X O | | |
| X | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| O X | | X X X |
| O X | | X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 127 O: 151 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
---
Tim Chow
XGID=aa-C-BC----BbDb-Ac-bbb----:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O X O | | O O O |
| X O O | | O O O |
| X O | | |
| X | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| O X | | X X X |
| O X | | X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 127 O: 151 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
---
Tim Chow
Timothy Chow
Dec 24, 2023, 7:34:09 PM12/24/23
to
XGID=aa-C-BC----BbDb-Ac-bbb----:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O X O | | O O O |
| X O O | | O O O |
| X O | | |
| X | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| O X | | X X X |
| O X | | X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 127 O: 151 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
I question whether it's humanly possible to judge accurately OTB
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O X O | | O O O |
| X O O | | O O O |
| X O | | |
| X | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| O X | | X X X |
| O X | | X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 127 O: 151 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
both the given position and the variant below, which differs by just
one pip.
Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 70.97% (G:18.73% B:0.41%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 29.03% (G:4.76% B:0.17%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 71.02% (G:18.80% B:0.35%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.98% (G:4.93% B:0.20%)
Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.851 (-0.070)
Double/Take: +0.921
Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.079)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.012 (+0.840..+0.863)
Confidence Double: ± 0.018 (+0.903..+0.939)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
-------
Variant
-------
XGID=aa-C-BC----BbDbA-c-bbb----:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O X O | | O O O |
| X O O | | O O O |
| X O | | |
| X | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| O X | | X X X |
| O X | | X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in Rollout
X on roll, cube action
No double
Player Winning Chances: 71.70% (G:19.67% B:0.47%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.30% (G:4.58% B:0.18%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 71.84% (G:20.25% B:0.46%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.16% (G:4.78% B:0.23%)
Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.894 (-0.106)
Double/Take: +1.002 (+0.002)
Double/Pass: +1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.011 (+0.884..+0.905)
Confidence Double: ± 0.015 (+0.986..+1.017)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
---
Tim Chow
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