I've been missing some loose hits lately, so I took a long look at 8/4*,
but between the shots and the blots and the concession of the 8pt, it
didn't seem justified. I chose 11/7 over 13/9 for the solid four prime
and because I like securing the barpoint in opposition to O's back
checker. It's not obvious to me why 13/9 is better. Perhaps Stick will
enlighten us.
XGID=-a--aCCABA-AcA---b-bbbbB-A:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:1:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0 1 pt.(s) match.
+24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
| X O O O O | | O X |
| X O O O O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X X | | O |
| X X | | X O |
| O O X X | | X X X X O |
+-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
Pip count X: 160 O: 136 X-O: 0-0/1
Cube: 1
X to play 41
1. Rollout¹ Bar/24 13/9 eq:-0.413
Player: 29.36% (G:6.02% B:0.81%)
Opponent: 70.64% (G:45.78% B:16.35%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.420..-0.406) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 16 seconds
2. Rollout¹ Bar/24 11/7 eq:-0.431 (-0.019)
Player: 28.43% (G:5.56% B:0.54%)
Opponent: 71.57% (G:46.03% B:15.92%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.439..-0.424) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 01 second
3. Rollout¹ Bar/24 8/4* eq:-0.470 (-0.057)
Player: 26.49% (G:5.37% B:0.77%)
Opponent: 73.51% (G:54.05% B:29.93%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.478..-0.462) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 40 seconds
4. 3-ply Bar/24 5/1* eq:-0.542 (-0.129)
Player: 22.89% (G:3.56% B:0.14%)
Opponent: 77.11% (G:47.35% B:8.17%)
5. 3-ply Bar/24 7/3 eq:-0.560 (-0.147)
Player: 21.99% (G:2.34% B:0.15%)
Opponent: 78.01% (G:50.51% B:8.21%)
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 69314136
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2