Snake eyes to play

[Timothy Chow]

XGID=---BBBB-A---bD---cee--A-A-:0:0:1:11:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O X X |
| X O O | | O |
| X O O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| O | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| O | | X X X X |
| O X | | X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 142 O: 115 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 11

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Tim Chow

[Timothy Chow]

I succumbed to the fear of getting attacked and played 24/22 8/6, but
Magriel's criteria all point to a bold play here.

1. Rollout¹ 22/20 8/6 eq:-0.717
Player: 30.37% (G:6.64% B:0.14%)
Opponent: 69.63% (G:12.35% B:0.26%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (-0.729..-0.705) - [99.7%]

2. Rollout¹ 22/21 8/5 eq:-0.739 (-0.022)
Player: 29.39% (G:5.65% B:0.14%)
Opponent: 70.61% (G:11.03% B:0.23%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.750..-0.728) - [0.3%]

3. Rollout¹ 8/4 eq:-0.777 (-0.060)
Player: 28.99% (G:5.35% B:0.14%)
Opponent: 71.01% (G:11.44% B:0.22%)
Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.790..-0.763) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 22/21 8/7 3/2(2) eq:-0.797 (-0.080)
Player: 28.74% (G:5.36% B:0.13%)
Opponent: 71.26% (G:11.88% B:0.22%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (-0.810..-0.784) - [0.0%]

5. Rollout¹ 24/22 8/6 eq:-0.835 (-0.118)
Player: 26.37% (G:2.38% B:0.07%)
Opponent: 73.63% (G:3.05% B:0.06%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.845..-0.824) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

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Tim Chow

[Stick Rice]

You made a play you hopefully wouldn't even consider at dmp? Figured you want to hear it lol

Stick