info
Google Groups no longer supports new Usenet posts or subscriptions. Historical content remains viewable.
Dismiss
Pottle or not?
2 views
Skip to first unread message
Timothy Chow
May 23, 2023, 9:23:58 AM5/23/23
to
XGID=--a-b-ECC---bCaa-c-c-b---A:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O |
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X X | | X |
| O X X | | X O |
| O X X | | X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 139 O: 162 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 41
---
Tim Chow
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O |
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X X | | X |
| O X X | | X O |
| O X X | | X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 139 O: 162 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 41
---
Tim Chow
Timothy Chow
May 25, 2023, 9:20:11 AM5/25/23
to
distraction play. But stepping up to the 5pt isn't a distraction play
because that's the point O wants to make.
In the variant, I have changed the roll to 52.
1. Rollout¹ Bar/24 6/2* eq:+0.035
Player: 51.07% (G:13.29% B:0.52%)
Opponent: 48.93% (G:13.06% B:0.47%)
Confidence: ±0.016 (+0.019..+0.051) - [100.0%]
2. Rollout¹ Bar/20 eq:-0.069 (-0.104)
Player: 48.57% (G:11.99% B:0.47%)
Opponent: 51.43% (G:14.62% B:0.42%)
Confidence: ±0.016 (-0.085..-0.053) - [0.0%]
3. Rollout¹ Bar/24 7/3 eq:-0.075 (-0.110)
Player: 48.60% (G:11.84% B:0.47%)
Opponent: 51.40% (G:14.25% B:0.53%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (-0.089..-0.062) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
-------
Variant
-------
XGID=--a-b-ECC---bCaa-c-c-b---A:0:0:1:52:0:0:0:0:10
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O |
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X X | | X |
| O X X | | X O |
| O X X | | X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 139 O: 162 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
1. Rollout¹ Bar/18 eq:+0.041
Player: 51.23% (G:12.55% B:0.55%)
Opponent: 48.77% (G:12.78% B:0.43%)
Confidence: ±0.016 (+0.026..+0.057) - [99.9%]
2. Rollout¹ Bar/23 13/8 eq:+0.008 (-0.033)
Player: 49.88% (G:12.86% B:0.51%)
Opponent: 50.12% (G:11.96% B:0.40%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.006..+0.023) - [0.1%]
3. Rollout¹ Bar/23 6/1 eq:-0.052 (-0.094)
Player: 48.69% (G:12.95% B:0.38%)
Opponent: 51.31% (G:13.66% B:0.44%)
Confidence: ±0.016 (-0.068..-0.037) - [0.0%]
4. Rollout¹ Bar/23 7/2* eq:-0.060 (-0.101)
Player: 48.33% (G:13.05% B:0.49%)
Opponent: 51.67% (G:13.95% B:0.45%)
Confidence: ±0.017 (-0.077..-0.043) - [0.0%]
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release
---
Tim Chow
0 new messages