Paul Epstein
"Can I take-next-turn?" is a viable, practical approach.
If you can find the one single move that leads to a take, then that
is, by definition, the checker play with the highest equity. If
multiple moves are a take, at least you have pruned the tree. If every
variation is a pass, then perhaps then a try exists that may cause
your opponent to incorrectly hold the cube.
wrote
Purely logically you are right. Seen more practiclly, the "take?" question
is a criteria, a rule of thumb for estimating the resulting equities which
is certainly a good start.
Imagine you have a chouette and people are not sure what to play. Somebody
brings up the "after A we'll have a take" argument. Everybody nods and
agrees -- fine, that's all what's needed. Only if somebody disagrees the
need for more explanations comes up. From a good player I would expect
that they can express some of their intuitive pattern recognition in
words, like "we won't leave so many blots" or "we anchor so a gammon is
less likely" or the like. I completely agree.
Peter aka the juggler
At some scores, a given play may cause a double, and the same play may
not at another score. Play A could be right if the cube is turned,
but wrong because it is not. So the cube action may be the actual
"reason" why one play is better than another, and that is why that
logic makes sense.
Phil Simborg
There is a similar rule of thumb - "Play A leads to a cube turn,
whereas play B doesn't; so I'll make play B".
In "Vision Laughs at Counting", Danny Kleinman shows a couple of
interesting exceptions to this rule:
GNU Backgammon Position ID: IgAAMAEAAAAAAA
Match ID : QYkQAAAAAAAA
+24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: gnubg (Cube: 2)
OOO | O O | | | 0 points
OOO | | | |
OOO | | | |
OO | | | |
OO | | | |
| |BAR| |v
XX | | | |
XX | | | |
XX | | | |
XXX | X | | | Rolled 14
XXX | X X | | | 0 points
+-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: tansley
The correct play - 4/off 2/1 - provokes a double. The vastly inferior
4/3 3/off staves off a double.
More complex is:
GNU Backgammon Position ID: LwAAAMAAAAAAAA
Match ID : QYkIAAAAAAAA
+24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: gnubg (Cube: 2)
OO | O O | | | 0 points
OO | O | | |
OO | O | | |
OO | O | | |
OO | | | |
| |BAR| |v
XX | | | |
XX | | | |
XXX | | | |
XXX | | | X | Rolled 12
XXX | | | X | 0 points
+-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: tansley
Once again the correct play - 9/8 9/7 - provokes a cube, and the
(slightly) inferior 9/6 staves off the cube.
tansley
X to play 61 in a money game. What is the best move and what is the
cube action for O after X's two best plays?
Bob Koca
??? Oh, right - with the first play O has no reason not to
redouble since it's the last turn, while with the second
play O doesn't redouble because if he holds the cube
X can't reredouble if O misses.
Do you know any exceptions where the cube is in the middle?
>More complex is:
>
> GNU Backgammon Position ID: LwAAAMAAAAAAAA
> Match ID : QYkIAAAAAAAA
> +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ O: gnubg (Cube: 2)
> OO | O O | | | 0 points
> OO | O | | |
> OO | O | | |
> OO | O | | |
> OO | | | |
> | |BAR| |v
> XX | | | |
> XX | | | |
>XXX | | | |
>XXX | | | X | Rolled 12
>XXX | | | X | 0 points
> +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ X: tansley
>
>Once again the correct play - 9/8 9/7 - provokes a cube, and the
>(slightly) inferior 9/6 staves off the cube.
>
>tansley
David C. Ullrich
I completely see your logic that this constitutes circular reasoning
and agree with you in the sense that is it synonymous to say that Play
B is worse than play A because if you make Play A it's no double, and
if you make Play B it is a double. The reason many people, including
myself, point out the doubling ramifications of a play is that this
helps you back in to the correct decision. When I am debating between
two plays, before I decide, I ask myself if one play is likely to get
me the cube and another play less likely, and I take that into account
in making the decision. Or I ask myself if I would take if I make one
play and drop if I make the other, and that also helps me decide
between the two plays. So after the fact, it is circular reasoning,
but in the decision process, looking at the cube possibilities is
quite valid.