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4-away/4-away cube action
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Timothy Chow
Jul 28, 2022, 8:47:22 AM7/28/22
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XGID=aB-BaBB--AA-dC---b-cb-b-B-:0:0:1:00:3:3:0:7:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:3 O:3 7 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O X |
| X | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| O | | |
| O | | |
| O | | X X X X |
| O X X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 136 O: 148 X-O: 3-3/7
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
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Tim Chow
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:3 O:3 7 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O X |
| X | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| O | | |
| O | | |
| O | | X X X X |
| O X X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 136 O: 148 X-O: 3-3/7
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
---
Tim Chow
ah...Clem
Jul 28, 2022, 5:12:10 PM7/28/22
to
recube vig but the price of gammon is higher since a doubled gammon wins
the match.
5s and 6s are usually market losers as is 11 and 22. Has X lost the
market already? Very possibly. I'd ship it since the take is unclear
and it gives a human opponent a chance to make an error.
X owns both ace points, which is usually enough of a liability that I'll
say take.
D/T.
atila...@gmail.com
Jul 29, 2022, 3:39:08 AM7/29/22
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29 Temmuz 2022 Cuma tarihinde saat 00:12:10 UTC+3 itibarıyla ah...Clem şunları yazdı:
We'll enter from the bar against a 4-point board. Moreover, the opponent will most likely send the second checker to the bar. I'll never take it.
I have tested such positions a lot. To accept the cube, the opponent must have 9 or less men in the attacking zone.
Of course I would turn the cube.
I have tested such positions a lot. To accept the cube, the opponent must have 9 or less men in the attacking zone.
Of course I would turn the cube.
Timothy Chow
Jul 29, 2022, 8:03:46 AM7/29/22
to
On 7/29/2022 3:39 AM, atila...@gmail.com wrote:
> We'll enter from the bar against a 4-point board. Moreover, the opponent will most likely send the second checker to the bar. I'll never take it.
> I have tested such positions a lot. To accept the cube, the opponent must have 9 or less men in the attacking zone.
Is this rule of thumb specifically for the 4-away/4-away score?
> We'll enter from the bar against a 4-point board. Moreover, the opponent will most likely send the second checker to the bar. I'll never take it.
> I have tested such positions a lot. To accept the cube, the opponent must have 9 or less men in the attacking zone.
---
Tim Chow
Timothy Chow
Jul 30, 2022, 9:02:20 AM7/30/22
to
one of the main reasons I'm posting this is because XG 3-ply took
my double here. But the rollout below says that taking is a
double whopper with cheese at this score.
Analyzed in Rollout
No double
Player Winning Chances: 60.14% (G:39.00% B:0.78%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.86% (G:12.86% B:1.42%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 60.43% (G:40.50% B:1.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 39.57% (G:13.30% B:2.64%)
Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.640 (-0.360)
Double/Take: +1.267 (+0.267)
Double/Pass: +1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout:
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Confidence No Double: ± 0.018 (+0.622..+0.657)
Confidence Double: ± 0.029 (+1.238..+1.295)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
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Tim Chow
Stick Rice
Aug 4, 2022, 2:26:34 PM8/4/22
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Stick
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