I Think I'll Let This One Just Sit Here and Stew For A While

[Travel]

https://electionbettingodds.com/

[Travel]

On Wednesday, October 16, 2019 at 10:31:44 PM UTC-4, Travel wrote:
> https://electionbettingodds.com/

Woops, couldn't resist. Here's another one:

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/15/moodys-trump-on-his-way-to-an-easy-2020-win-if-economy-holds-up.html

Kinda line n' up with Rasmussen's 50% isnit?

But gorhead and keep believing a dumbass with sock puppets and a bogus average of bogus MSM bogus polls (chortle); (they only report their last poll, taken days before the election; not the months on end of fake polls). Well, you know that, as Trump won easily.


Trump winning Minnesota and New Hampshire: ooo! ouch!

[BillB]

On Wednesday, October 16, 2019 at 7:31:44 PM UTC-7, Travel wrote:

> https://electionbettingodds.com/

I don't think that says what you think it does. They're only giving Trump a 41.5% chance to win a second term.

[Not_Sock_7u]

. . . which means Trump has a 58.5% chance of losing (assuming he’s not impeached, thrown out of office and imprisoned). To simply for Travel (aka: Irish Mike’s sockpuppet) that means according to betting markets Trump is about a 3 to 2 underdog to be re-elected.

That’s literally unprecedented for an incumbent president with an excellent economy.

[Clave]

Except, of course, the economy is not "excellent".

[BillB]

You're right, it's not, but Trump has somewhat successfully promoted the mass delusion that it is. Economic illiterates like Travel see that 3.8% U3 unemployment number and think everything is just wonderful.

The other prediction model (from Moodys) that Travel is pimping takes into account ONLY economic issues. That invalidates it right from the get-go. The problems with Trump's presidency aren't primarily about economics. Even so, the author, Mark Zandi, concludes that Trump will win IFF the economy stays strong, AND if the Democrats do not have a large turnout.

Unfortunately for Travel, Zandi is now on every business show this week predicting recession in the next 12 months. Actually, he's declared manufacturing already in recession, which doesn't help Trump in the all-important rust belt states. And if the Democrats nominate an exciting new social democratic/ social justice candidate, as it appears they are going to do, the Democratic turnout should be huge.

So Travel has proudly presented two sets of data that he THOUGHT were favorable to Trump, except both are calling Trump a big underdog to win in 2020. lol

Not only that, we haven't seen yet (and cannot possibly conceive of) all the incredibly stupid shit Trump will say and do in the next 12 months. That's still a wildcard, but he does seem to become more unhinged by the day.

[VegasJerry]

On Wednesday, October 16, 2019 at 8:37:56 PM UTC-7, Clave wrote:

Even after borrowing $1 Trillion dollars in tax cuts for the rich as a stimulus. And as this chart shows, job increases under trump is still dropping off:

https://1drv.ms/u/s!AtNJz3LlnlrbgZkxVJxc0fyK8ZmMxg?e=CHWi2h

[BillB]

Isn't it amazing, Jerry? The Trump bots just DO NOT want to talk about the debt. Trump has achieved his "best ever" (not really) economy by borrowing just under $10,000 for every household in America. And that's in FY2019 alone!

It's basically the same way he ran his many failed businesses. Borrow as much as you can as fast as you can, and when the creditors show up you bolt (after having vultured out as much value for yourself as possible). The only problem with that is a country can't just declare bankruptcy like a casino can.

[VegasJerry]

On Thursday, October 17, 2019 at 9:16:09 AM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
> Isn't it amazing, Jerry? The Trump bots just DO NOT want to talk about the debt.

They CAN'T talk about anything. Look how Nancy Pelosi bitch slapped trump this morning, then walked out and went directly to the press and told them. She told trump, all his decisions ("roads") lead to Putin. That he has no plan, no honor. He told the press that trump had a meltdown, that he's sick, and she was praying for him. And what do trump do? Trump tweets her very same words, "She melted down, she's sick and he's praying for her."

It is EXCATALLY as you said. These bots can't talk about it. Just like Irish Asshole, Russian Traveler, et al; they have no original thought of there own. They Cut & Paste exactly what FOX or the GOP force-feed them.

Even this thread here is like Irish Asshole, travel Cut & Paste retread bullshit from FOX or the GOP in hopes somebody, anybody, will respond, just so he can pretend he's engaging, yet he can't. And when you question these cowards they can't respond. They just Cut & Paste & Run.

> Trump has achieved his "best ever" (not really) economy by borrowing just under $10,000 for every household in America. And that's in FY2019 alone!

And none of them can address trump's broken promises to working people. Massive infrastructure bill, nothing; Better healthcare, nothing but destruction of healthcare; clean the swamp, now it’s swampier; tax bill to help the middle class, yet help the rich and corporations; gun control, yet no background checks.

[Travel]

Ohhh, I think it does (and you wish it didn't).

It's relative to the field, dumbass, and it's a huge lead. And it also reconciles Rasmussen, and is grossly contrary to your bogus, fake MSM "polls". What more could a real American ask for in an ass-kicking?

Dummying-up on the Moody's Analytics, huh (chortle).

[Travel]

No, it's spectacular.

[Travel]

Chortle, here comes the dumbassed gobblygoop again.

BillB doesn't know anything about the economy: capital spending; labor participation rate; I could go on forever about economic indicators of which BillB has never even heard; obviously doesn't even know what the economic indicators are: We'll just let skippy know that, under Trump, they're spectacularly up.

[BillB]

On Thursday, October 17, 2019 at 3:02:24 PM UTC-7, Travel wrote:
> On Wednesday, October 16, 2019 at 10:49:56 PM UTC-4, BillB wrote:
> > On Wednesday, October 16, 2019 at 7:31:44 PM UTC-7, Travel wrote:
> >
> > > https://electionbettingodds.com/
> >
> > I don't think that says what you think it does. They're only giving Trump a 41.5% chance to win a second term.
>
>
> Ohhh, I think it does (and you wish it didn't).
>
> It's relative to the field, dumbass, and it's a huge lead.

So not only are you a economic illiterate, you're also a mathematical illiterate. They are saying he has 41.5% of winning. That's an underdog. In other words, the odds are against him winning (according to the betting markets).

And it also reconciles Rasmussen, and is grossly contrary to your bogus, fake MSM "polls". What more could a real American ask for in an ass-kicking?
>

It has nothing to do with Rasmussen.

> Dummying-up on the Moody's Analytics, huh (chortle).

I already commented on it in another thread. They are also predicting a Trump loss.

[BillB]

On Thursday, October 17, 2019 at 3:03:20 PM UTC-7, Travel wrote:

> > Except, of course, the economy is not "excellent".
>
> No, it's spectacular.

lol...you are an economic illiterate.

[Travel]

Chortle, the Jerstermobile still can't list without lying n' sputtering.

Well, I gotta run, and I'll leave you and the flustered BillB alone to lick your wounds together.

Minnesota! gutta luv it!

(And New Hampshire's a nice touch, doncha think!)

[Clave]

On 10/17/2019 2:03 PM, Travel wrote:

<...TravelTwaddle...>

[Joe Camel]

On Wednesday, October 16, 2019 at 7:31:44 PM UTC-7, Travel wrote:
> https://electionbettingodds.com/

Stew on this. (chortle . . .)

https://www.electionbettingodds.com/TrumpOut.html

[risky biz]

On Wednesday, October 16, 2019 at 7:47:15 PM UTC-7, Travel wrote:
> On Wednesday, October 16, 2019 at 10:31:44 PM UTC-4, Travel wrote:
> > https://electionbettingodds.com/
>

~ Woops, couldn't resist. Here's another one:
>
> https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/15/moodys-trump-on-his-way-to-an-easy-2020-win-if-economy-holds-up.html

It's too bad that Americans are smart enough to not give Trump credit for the recovery in the American economy. They, in fact, recognize that he could damage or derail that recovery.