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2020 Democratic presidential nomination market
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BillB
Aug 9, 2019, 9:57:27 PM8/9/19
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https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination
Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
It's remarkable to me that there is still so much division at this point. I'm not sure this is a good thing for the Democrats.
BillB
Aug 9, 2019, 11:56:19 PM8/9/19
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VegasJerry
Aug 10, 2019, 9:34:20 AM8/10/19
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On Friday, August 9, 2019 at 6:57:27 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
I'm still interested in saving my healthcare.. Still interested in sensible gun control.. And of those at the top of the list will do.
irishra...@gmail.com
Aug 10, 2019, 1:00:07 PM8/10/19
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Just like Hillary did in 2016.
Irish Mike
Dutch
Aug 10, 2019, 3:18:47 PM8/10/19
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On 2019-08-10 6:34 a.m., VegasJerry wrote:
> On Friday, August 9, 2019 at 6:57:27 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
>> https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination
>>
>> Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
>> Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
>>
>> It's remarkable to me that there is still so much division at this point. I'm not sure this is a good thing for the Democrats.
>
> Why not? You think there's someone that would vote Republican because their top of the list choice wasn't selected?
Of course. A lot of American voters are afraid of the bogeyman of
> On Friday, August 9, 2019 at 6:57:27 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
>> https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination
>>
>> Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
>> Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
>>
>> It's remarkable to me that there is still so much division at this point. I'm not sure this is a good thing for the Democrats.
>
> Why not? You think there's someone that would vote Republican because their top of the list choice wasn't selected?
"socialism".
>
> I'm still interested in saving my healthcare.. Still interested in sensible gun control.. And of those at the top of the list will do.
being discussed.
BillB
Aug 10, 2019, 6:19:27 PM8/10/19
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On Saturday, August 10, 2019 at 6:34:20 AM UTC-7, VegasJerry wrote:
> Why not? You think there's someone that would vote Republican because their top of the list choice wasn't selected?
It's not so much a problem of people switching parties. The issue is turnout. For example, over four million people who voted for Obama didn't bother showing up for Hillary.
> Why not? You think there's someone that would vote Republican because their top of the list choice wasn't selected?
You need an exciting, charismatic candidate. The Democrats seem to have a hard time learning this important lesson (Mondale, Dukakis, Kerry, Gore, H. Clinton, etc.).
BillB
Aug 11, 2019, 2:06:32 AM8/11/19
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On Friday, August 9, 2019 at 6:57:27 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
> https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination
>
> Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
> Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
Biden dropped again. They say he's making too many gaffes during his stump speeches. People are starting to wonder again.
>
> Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
> Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
So now we have three exactly tied scenarios for the lead. Biden vs. Warren vs. (Harrris + Sanders) combined. All at 27 cents, leaving 19 cents for all the other also-rans combined. I just wouldn't know who to bet on at this point. Probably Biden at 3.7 to 1, but somehow it still feels risky. He's declining in more ways than one.
irishra...@gmail.com
Aug 11, 2019, 6:12:27 AM8/11/19
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assuming the economy doesn't collapse. And that is Biden & Harris.
Which is why I'm rooting for Pocohontas & Bernie.
Irish Mike
I thank God Trump beat Hillary and I would walk five miles in a rain storm
to vote for him in 2020, if it keeps any of the unhinged, anti-American
left wing loon Democrats from getting elected.
Clave
Aug 11, 2019, 7:06:42 AM8/11/19
to
On 8/11/2019 2:12 AM, irishra...@gmail.com wrote:
> On Saturday, August 10, 2019 at 3:18:47 PM UTC-4, Dutch wrote:
>> On 2019-08-10 6:34 a.m., VegasJerry wrote:
>>> On Friday, August 9, 2019 at 6:57:27 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
>>>> https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination
>>>>
>>>> Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
>>>> Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
>>>>
>>>> It's remarkable to me that there is still so much division at this point. I'm not sure this is a good thing for the Democrats.
>>>
>>> Why not? You think there's someone that would vote Republican because their top of the list choice wasn't selected?
>>
>> Of course. A lot of American voters are afraid of the bogeyman of
>> "socialism".
>>
>>>
>>> I'm still interested in saving my healthcare.. Still interested in sensible gun control.. And of those at the top of the list will do.
>>
>> Would you EVER vote for Donald Trump? So you're not the demographic
>> being discussed.
>
> There
Irish manure spreaded
> On Saturday, August 10, 2019 at 3:18:47 PM UTC-4, Dutch wrote:
>> On 2019-08-10 6:34 a.m., VegasJerry wrote:
>>> On Friday, August 9, 2019 at 6:57:27 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
>>>> https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination
>>>>
>>>> Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
>>>> Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
>>>>
>>>> It's remarkable to me that there is still so much division at this point. I'm not sure this is a good thing for the Democrats.
>>>
>>> Why not? You think there's someone that would vote Republican because their top of the list choice wasn't selected?
>>
>> Of course. A lot of American voters are afraid of the bogeyman of
>> "socialism".
>>
>>>
>>> I'm still interested in saving my healthcare.. Still interested in sensible gun control.. And of those at the top of the list will do.
>>
>> Would you EVER vote for Donald Trump? So you're not the demographic
>> being discussed.
>
> There
Clave
Aug 11, 2019, 7:28:10 AM8/11/19
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VegasJerry
Aug 11, 2019, 10:40:51 AM8/11/19
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On Saturday, August 10, 2019 at 3:19:27 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
> On Saturday, August 10, 2019 at 6:34:20 AM UTC-7, VegasJerry wrote:
>
> > Why not? You think there's someone that would vote Republican because their top of the list choice wasn't selected?
>
>
> It's not so much a problem of people switching parties. The issue is turnout. For example, over four
> million people who voted for Obama didn't bother showing up for Hillary.
I’ll take that as a yes. (As not voting for the Democrat is a vote for the Republican). Argo, those that don’t vote for the Democrat they didn’t like must explain why they were not voting for what they wanted.
> On Saturday, August 10, 2019 at 6:34:20 AM UTC-7, VegasJerry wrote:
>
> > Why not? You think there's someone that would vote Republican because their top of the list choice wasn't selected?
>
>
> It's not so much a problem of people switching parties. The issue is turnout. For example, over four
> million people who voted for Obama didn't bother showing up for Hillary.
> You need an exciting, charismatic candidate.
> The Democrats seem to have a hard time learning this important lesson
> (Mondale, Dukakis, Kerry, Gore, H. Clinton, etc.).
VegasJerry
Aug 11, 2019, 10:43:25 AM8/11/19
to
On Saturday, August 10, 2019 at 11:06:32 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
> On Friday, August 9, 2019 at 6:57:27 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
> > https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination
> >
> > Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
> > Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
>
> Biden dropped again. They say he's making too many gaffes during his stump speeches.
Yet ignore trump's? Something more for them to explain.
> On Friday, August 9, 2019 at 6:57:27 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
> > https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination
> >
> > Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
> > Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
>
> Biden dropped again. They say he's making too many gaffes during his stump speeches.
> People are starting to wonder again.
> So now we have three exactly tied scenarios for the lead.
VegasJerry
Aug 11, 2019, 10:45:51 AM8/11/19
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On Sunday, August 11, 2019 at 3:12:27 AM UTC-7, irishra...@gmail.com wrote:
> On Saturday, August 10, 2019 at 3:18:47 PM UTC-4, Dutch wrote:
> > On 2019-08-10 6:34 a.m., VegasJerry wrote:
> > > On Friday, August 9, 2019 at 6:57:27 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
> > >> https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination
> > >>
> > >> Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
> > >> Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
> > >>
> > >> It's remarkable to me that there is still so much division at this point. I'm not sure this is a good thing for the Democrats.
> > >
> > > Why not? You think there's someone that would vote Republican because their top of the list choice wasn't selected?
> >
> > Of course. A lot of American voters are afraid of the bogeyman of
> > "socialism".
> >
> > >
> > > I'm still interested in saving my healthcare.. Still interested in sensible gun control.. And of those at the top of the list will do.
> >
> > Would you EVER vote for Donald Trump? So you're not the demographic
> > being discussed.
>
> There is only one Democrat team...
> On Saturday, August 10, 2019 at 3:18:47 PM UTC-4, Dutch wrote:
> > On 2019-08-10 6:34 a.m., VegasJerry wrote:
> > > On Friday, August 9, 2019 at 6:57:27 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
> > >> https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination
> > >>
> > >> Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
> > >> Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
> > >>
> > >> It's remarkable to me that there is still so much division at this point. I'm not sure this is a good thing for the Democrats.
> > >
> > > Why not? You think there's someone that would vote Republican because their top of the list choice wasn't selected?
> >
> > Of course. A lot of American voters are afraid of the bogeyman of
> > "socialism".
> >
> > >
> > > I'm still interested in saving my healthcare.. Still interested in sensible gun control.. And of those at the top of the list will do.
> >
> > Would you EVER vote for Donald Trump? So you're not the demographic
> > being discussed.
>
The FOX/Russian/GOP cool aid propaganda Irish prick drink, ignored.
risky biz
Aug 11, 2019, 2:06:47 PM8/11/19
to
On Friday, August 9, 2019 at 6:57:27 PM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
> https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination
>
> Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
> Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
This must be pretty damned accurate if they're willing to bet as much as 28c.👀
>
> Interesting situation shaping up at the top. We have a four person three-way tie. By that I mean Warren has surged 3 cents to be almost tied with Biden at 27 cents.
> Harris and Sanders at 13 and 14 cents respectively have combined odds as likely as either Biden or Warren individually.
BillB
Aug 11, 2019, 3:11:32 PM8/11/19
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On Sunday, August 11, 2019 at 11:06:47 AM UTC-7, risky biz wrote:
> This must be pretty damned accurate if they're willing to bet as much as 28c.👀
You're dumb. lol
> This must be pretty damned accurate if they're willing to bet as much as 28c.👀
Dutch
Aug 11, 2019, 3:48:28 PM8/11/19
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On 2019-08-11 3:12 a.m., irishra...@gmail.com wrote:
> There is only one Democrat team that has a real chance of beating Trump,
> assuming the economy doesn't collapse. And that is Biden & Harris.
Neither of those assumptions is true. Even with a strong economy
> There is only one Democrat team that has a real chance of beating Trump,
> assuming the economy doesn't collapse. And that is Biden & Harris.
several, maybe all of the Democratic candidates can beat trump.
You just can't see how weary the American people are of his bullshit.
It's like having a 7 year old as president.
risky biz
Aug 11, 2019, 4:41:05 PM8/11/19
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BillB
Aug 11, 2019, 4:52:49 PM8/11/19
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On Sunday, August 11, 2019 at 1:41:05 PM UTC-7, risky biz wrote:
> > > This must be pretty damned accurate if they're willing to bet as much as 28c.👀
> >
> > You're dumb. lol
>
> I'm not dumb.
Then why do you keep making incredibly dumb comments? Is it an act?
> > > This must be pretty damned accurate if they're willing to bet as much as 28c.👀
> >
> > You're dumb. lol
>
> I'm not dumb.
risky biz
Aug 13, 2019, 7:59:31 AM8/13/19
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BillB
Aug 13, 2019, 10:13:54 AM8/13/19
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On Tuesday, August 13, 2019 at 4:59:31 AM UTC-7, risky biz wrote:
> Why do you keep making incredibly dumb comments? I think you must be just >acting.
I see...you're reverting to the old "monkey see, monkey do" strategy. Clever!
> Why do you keep making incredibly dumb comments? I think you must be just >acting.
When have I ever said anything as dumb as, "This must be pretty damned accurate if they're willing to bet as much as 28c."
LOL...that's firkin-level stupidity. Maybe you should look into how markets work. Were you under the impression that when people buy penny stocks they only buy one share?
Let me give you a tip. When you try to be an ankle-biter you just come off as an intellectual Chihuahua.
risky biz
Aug 13, 2019, 11:03:56 AM8/13/19
to
On Tuesday, August 13, 2019 at 7:13:54 AM UTC-7, BillB wrote:
> On Tuesday, August 13, 2019 at 4:59:31 AM UTC-7, risky biz wrote:
>
> > Why do you keep making incredibly dumb comments? I think you must be just >acting.
>
> I see...you're reverting to the old "monkey see, monkey do" strategy. Clever!
>
> When have I ever said anything as dumb as, "This must be pretty damned accurate if they're willing to bet as much as 28c."
> LOL...that's firkin-level stupidity. Maybe you should look into how markets work. Were you under the impression that when people buy penny stocks they only buy one share?
When there are more buyers than sellers the share price goes up. If the underlying asset has any real value it trades for a lot more than a dollar. Certainly not 28c.
> On Tuesday, August 13, 2019 at 4:59:31 AM UTC-7, risky biz wrote:
>
> > Why do you keep making incredibly dumb comments? I think you must be just >acting.
>
> I see...you're reverting to the old "monkey see, monkey do" strategy. Clever!
>
> When have I ever said anything as dumb as, "This must be pretty damned accurate if they're willing to bet as much as 28c."
> LOL...that's firkin-level stupidity. Maybe you should look into how markets work. Were you under the impression that when people buy penny stocks they only buy one share?
That was your lesson in how markets work if the light hasn't come on yet.
> Let me give you a tip. When you try to be an ankle-biter you just come off as an intellectual Chihuahua.
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