On Thu, 27 Oct 2011 08:55:58 -0700 (PDT), Dan O <
danov...@gmail.com>
wrote:
>On Oct 26, 1:45 pm, Henk Fictorie <
h...@henkfictorie.nl> wrote:
>> Op 26-10-2011 21:59, Dan O schreef:
>>
>>
>>
>> > On Oct 26, 11:02 am, Henk Fictorie<
h...@henkfictorie.nl> wrote:
>> >> Op 26-10-2011 19:05, DirtRoadie schreef:
>>
>> >>> On Oct 26, 10:52 am, Henk Fictorie<
h...@henkfictorie.nl> wrote:
>> >>>> Op 26-10-2011 18:45, DirtRoadie schreef:
>>
>> >>>>> On Oct 26, 10:37 am, Henk Fictorie<
h...@henkfictorie.nl> wrote:
>> >>>>>> Op 26-10-2011 17:31, DirtRoadie schreef:
>>
>> >>>>>>> On Oct 26, 8:35 am, Henk Fictorie<
h...@henkfictorie.nl> wrote:
>> >>>>>>>> Op 25-10-2011 2:05, Andre Jute schreef:> Motorcycle racer Marco Simoncelli dies after his helmet is knocked
>> >>>>>>>>> off:
>> >>>>>>>>>
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport2/hi/motogp/15421404.stm
>>
>> >>>>>>>> Apparently wearing a helmet doesn't prevent injuries. So, this is a case
>> >>>>>>>> in support of the anti-helmet riders.
>>
>> >>>>>>> Your bias is showing.
>>
>> >>>>>>> The linked article describes:
>> >>>>>>> " ...but one of those bikes unfortunately hit the back of Simoncelli's
>> >>>>>>> head, which took his helmet off.
>> >>>>>>> ...
>> >>>>>>> The helmet is the most important piece of any protective clothing -
>> >>>>>>> and if you lose that you're very vulnerable."
>>
>> >>>>>>> To summarize - the rider was not "wearing" a helmet when injuries
>> >>>>>>> were sustained.
>>
>> >>>>>>> If you are so inclined, you can find and view video of the incident.
>>
>> >>>>>>> But I agree that helmet discussions have little reason for being in
>> >>>>>>> RBT. There are other much more appropriate forums.
>>
>> >>>>>>> DR
>>
>> >>>>>> When he started the race he was wearing a helmet right until the moment
>> >>>>>> of the accident. Due to the accident the helmet came off. My conclusion
>> >>>>>> is that the helmet didn't prevent him from his tragic accident.
>>
>> >>>>> Again, your bias is showing.
>> >>>>> I'll leave it at that.
>>
>> >>>>> DR
>>
>> >>>> My bias is to always wearing a helmet on fast bikes
>> >>>> (roadbike/mountainbike), but not on a dutch city bike.
>> >>>> I just wanted to point out an illogical conclusion made by Andre.
>>
>> >>> Where do you see anything "illogical?" For that matter, where do you
>> >>> find a conclusion? We do not know if there would have been a different
>> >>> (and better) outcome if the helmet had stayed on. We DO know it would
>> >>> not have been worse.
>>
>> >>> "Marco Simoncelli dies after his helmet is knocked off" is a true
>> >>> statement by all accounts.
>>
>> >>> "..They hit Simoncelli's bike and his helmet came off" is a true
>> >>> statement by all accounts.
>>
>> >>> DR
>>
>> >> Quoting OP Andre Jute:
>> >> "Rubbish. Cycle fatalities and the efficacy of helmets are the business
>> >> of this conference, and are constantly raised by everyone else,
>> >> hundreds of threads on the subject over the years. It is only when the
>> >> evidence tends to support the case for helmets that hypocrites like
>> >> you, Clive George, suddenly don't want to discuss the matter."
>>
>> >> Trying to prove that wearing a helmet saves lives/injuries by referring
>> >> to an accident (where it doesn't matter whether the person was or wasn't
>> >> wearing a helmet) is illogical.
>>
>> > I have had my (helmeted) head run smack dab over by fast moving
>> > motorcycles. I have taken a heavy steel footpeg mount - jutting from
>> > a speeding motorcycle - to the jaw piece of my full coverage helmet.
>> > These are just a couple of examples. I am satisfied that a good
>> > helmet offers me invaluable protection. I have no need or desire for
>> > proof that injuries were or ever will be prevented. I do not think
>> > that I have arrived at this impression by faulty logic. YMMV.
>>
>> >> A prove should show that an accident was prevented by wearing a helmet.
>>
>> > Can you give a hypothetical example.
>>
>> My last sentence above is obviously incorrect. It should read:
>> A prove should show that an incident was prevented by wearing a helmet.
>>
>
>Yeah, but I don't see how to prove this - short of smashing some human
>heads in controlled tests.
>
I believe that the Snell Lab does exactly that?
>> Proving that hypotheses are true is always difficult, while proving that
>> hypotheses are false is easy. You just need one counterexample (seehttp://
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falsifiability).
>>
>> I think that the helmet debate is not something you can prove. It is
>> more a question of risk assessment
>> (
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk_assessment). Should I wear a helmet
>> on my racingbike, dutch city bike or while lying in bed. In all
>> occasions there is a chance that I will have an accident involving my
>> head. But what is the probability and what is the damage. That should
>> weighted against the costs (financial, comfort etc.).
>>
>
>Agreed - absolutely. Now you're right on my wavelength.
>
>What I originally took issue with was the blatant logical flaw in
>assuming that helmets do not prevent injuries just because injuries
>sometimes occur even when a helmet is used.
>
>Certain people would try to have us believe, though, that
>our individual risk is based on statistics of other people. This is
>fine if you're an actuary trying to balance a risk pool; but if the
>issue is your own personal safety, while statistics may inform of some
>typical, generic risks, they are not really applicable to any
>individual.
>
>My anecdotes don't "prove" anything, but were offered, FWIW, in
>response to the idea that a helmet makes no difference when getting
>hit in the head by a speeding motorcycle. Certain people would have
>us believe that bicycle helmets make no difference, either.
--
John B.