On Sunday, September 12, 2021 at 4:30:41 PM UTC+1, AMuzi wrote:
> As the old joke goes:
> "How to you make god laugh?"
> "Plan"
And when it is Central Planning, He laughs harder.
> As Mr Bush, Mr Obama, Mr Trump and now whoever's pulling Mr
> Biden's strings discovered, the enemy gets a vote.
Tom's point is that the US has made all these enemies and then given them a vote. However true that may be, now, with hindsight, with the same hindsight it is difficult to blame the people who did it. They acted in accordance with the best knowledge and principles of the time. Let's not go as far back as the Marshall Plan, but remember its inspiration as a lasting influence on policy all the way through Barack Obama, acting on a very perverted version of the Marshall Plan, sending planeloads of cash to the treacherous Persians. Let's take the example of the real, clear, and very present danger, the Chinese. The men who are responsible are Richard Nixon and Henry Kissinger, undoubtedly men of goodwill, and the pair of them the greatest and best of America's foreign policy experts in the postwar period. This is important, because the only other candidates for the greatest Americans in foreign policy in the whole *century* are FDR and Colonel House (who didn't even have an official State position) and General Marshall, and Teddy Roosevelt. (Wilson was a pompous fuckup, an ivory tower academic without any connection with reality, a real case of hubris. Eisenhower was very experienced in international politics but he took the Trump view of "America First", as became clear at Suez, which caused many Europeans to view him as treacherous.) So it is understandable, against that background, that many people at the time agreed with the Nixon-Kissinger idea that, if the Chinese could somehow be made rich, they would become just Americans. There was also continuous tension between the Chinese and the Soviets, and the minimum outcome of the policy, driving the wedge deeper between the two Communist supergiants, was already a very desirable end. I certainly subscribed to the idea, and there were endless examples of nations pulling themselves up by their bootstraps to become so middle class that perpetual peace was their greatest and most fervent wish. In a talk I gave at a club in NY, which I was asked to repeat twice in Washington, I also said what many thought privately, that the minimum outcome would the that the Chinese Communist Party, for whose managerial nous no one had much respect, would mismanage the transition -- I distributed thirty pages of examples of societies which had collapsed inwards at some liberation of policy or distribution of powers or opening of borders -- and bring a collapse upon themselves. It turned out the Chinese, after several false starts, found the man for the day, their own Joe Stalin in Xi Jinping. (It doesn't pay to forget that Stalin rose by being the best facilitator in the Soviets, a monster of brilliant organizational skills.) Unlike Mikhail Gorbachev, who lost control of the apparat of enforcement in the disillusion of the Russians after their loss in Afghanistan, and thus could not manage the liberalization well, nor guide it, nor restrain it, and therefore lost his nation, Xi Jinping has all the strings in his hands. If you want to know how much, consider that Xi Jinping has just sent the richest and most influential businessman in China, Jack Ma, into fearful internal exile -- and no one said a word. The Chinese in effect took the gift of Americas manufacturing sector, and stole proprietary rights wholesale, and used them to build a bigger, better, stronger, Communist society, an amazing feat. Couple this with the Chinese belief that they are superior to the roundeye barbarians beyond the wall and entitled by their superiority to rule over them, and all kinds of nastiness follows naturally. However, the Chinese will in the end be beaten by a hysterical Western "scientific" policy that they took up with typical ruthlessness and disrespect for human life, population control. There never was any risk of overpopulation -- I've been saying this since as a boy genius I had a satirical column in a national Sunday paper -- and the Chinese one child policy has caused not only tens of millions of men without women, already a cause for war or some other kind of conquest, but a huge disproportion of old people, pensioners of a socialist state. And behind them China is pitifully poor, a peasant society, the layer of people that Nixon and Kissinger elevated to the middle classes being pathetically thin. I know I've said this here before, but it can't be stressed enough that Xi Jinping doesn't have enough time to make the rest of China rich before the pensioners drag all the systems down and he runs into the same problem that the brilliant Ronald Reagan saw would break the Russians, usually expressed as "Guns or butter?" The danger isn't that clumsy Joe Biden will start a war with China, but that Xi Jinping under pressure of demographics will start an early war because he knows he will not be able to keep up the present armed services, especially the expensive Navy, which will have to fight a three-ocean war. The longer he leaves fighting a war he clearly considers essential to his plans, the less well he will be able to fight it and the more likely to lose it. The Chinese Pandemic, which has cost the Chinese whatever goodwill they had left after decades of theft of proprietary rights, has hastened the inevitable because whoever turns that Chinese poodle Biden out of the White House will join the Europeans in punishing the Chinese by cutting off their lifeblood; the Europeans are already taxing and raising excise on Chinese goods that before COVID-19 they benevolently passed on the nod. More, the Europeans are applying Japanese concepts of "free trade" by bureaucratically delaying goods from China, and there's more to follow because suddenly even the Germans -- who love to wallow in vicarious guilt expressed as over-solicitousness to brown people -- are set to elect a chancellor who will punish the Chinese for carelessly or maliciously killing so many Germans.
Andre Jute
What comes round goes round.