I've just reviewed Verstappen's in-car video on F1TV and every single
word you said there was wrong.
His surge ahead happened as they were both braking for turn ONE. The
turn BEFORE the incident. He established his right to a car's width at
that point.
And Verstappen as never off track until the apex of TURN TWO, where he
did have his right side wheels on the kerbing, leaving as much room as
he possibly could for Hamilton. His right side tires didn't so much as
As they both turn into turn one, Verstappen edges ahead and from that
point until contact his front tire is never further back than the middle
of Hamilton's car, and in fact, when they make contact, Hamilton's front
tire hits Verstappen's front wing.