On Thu 2012-May-17 10:25, Scott Dorsey writes:
> In 1978, we had so much low level ionization that folks were getting
> BBC-TV on the east coast of the US and complaining it wouldn't come
> in properly and the fine tuning couldn't bring in both sound and
> picture at the same time.
YEp, recall that one well. Had all sorts of fun on 10 and
even 6 meters. Was on tour with a band, and we homebrewed
linear amplifiers for the vehicles because we got a few
miles apart those little 3.5 watt output am cb rigs with a
102 inch whip wouldn't work each other over the strong
stations coming in on skip, and we even avoided the usual
road channels, except for one vehicle which had dual watch
capability and could monitor cb 19 as well as the other
channel we were using. With 100 watts at least we could
communicate with each other if 4 or 5 miles apart, which we
couldn't do with 3.5 watts.
> The Carrington Event of 1859 was big... folks have been estimating
> between 25 and 50 times the size of the 1978 storm.
Yep, and iirc as I mentioned in a previous post, that one
even did damage to railroad tracks.
> What is scary about the Carrington Event that is that ionization
> resulted in high voltages being induced on long telegraph lines, and
> the same thing can happen to power lines. Now, for high voltage
> transmission lines that already carry hundreds of KeV, that's not a
> big worry. For electronics not plugged into external lines which
> are self-contained, that's not a big worry.
Nope, but as you note, cable tv, telephone systems,
especially where lines aren't buried, etc. that's a big
worry. iF lines carrying control data for those utilities
aren't fiber optic or buried though that's a big worry.
> So far, Solar Cycle 24 has been pretty low activity... the minimum
> was very, very minimum and it was extended a lot longer than
> expected. So there is some debate about how big the maximum is
> going to be and whether it also might be delayed, but so far the
> solar activity has been way, way lower than in the past few cycles.
> For HF radio users like hams, this is an annoyance.
YEah I know, that's sure been a disappointment for me I can
tell you, but we're starting to get a bit of activity.
Twenty meters is starting to open up to Europe again late
evenings in the midwest on occasion, but it hasn't been near what many hoped for.
> In fact, there's some possibility of a "maunder minimum" where solar
> activity drops down very low for multiple cycles. This is the great
> fear of a lot of ham radio operators.
INdeed there is, but if not this event, then I would lay
money on another Carrington event in our future.
<snip>
> Hard to do, though, it's a lot of energy, and nuclear weapons are
> still not commodity items yet as much as some governments might like
> them to be. But, you never know.
This is true, even with the balloon idea I threw out last
night, this still isn't "off the shelf" for most countries
even. Remember that dude in Pakistan sold some others who
wanted to get into the nukes game defective centrifuge
technology. But, there are still enough "rogue states" that might decide to give it a shot. Yeah I know, NOrth Korea
can't even feed its own people yet they've been working hard at developing nuke technology, and icbm capability.
>>We are taking several inexpensive counter-measures individually, but I'd also
>>suggest the following if you're so inclined:
<snip>
> These are certainly wise things to do. In the case of electrical
> service, the same things that can harden the system to induced
> pulses are ALSO the same things that can harden it to lightning
> events. And if you do not have a proper grounding system for the
> studio and a lightning arrestor built into your service entry, you
> should get that taken care of right now because that is your first
> line of defense for any induced junk on the power line. --scott
That's what amazes me the most about this. The very things
that are your best protection are "good engineering
practice" anyway.