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On Nov 20, 2025, at 09:35, Roy Bourgeois <ro...@bw.legal> wrote:
I think we might also be missing an important point. Young people have many more flying options today than we had when we started. 52 years ago when I started you had only airplanes, gliders, or Rogallo type hang gliders - and those were the choices. Now we have ultralights, micro lights, powered parachutes, better hang gliders and many more options for young people who want to fly. I'm not certain that there are less young people flying today than before - but they have more choices and so we don't see them in our sport so much. Part of the answer ( I think) is to sell the "magic" of cross country soaring to a market that thinks that all we do is an extended slide to the ground.
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Every year the number of new pilots gets smaller and smaller . Why is this happening , and what can be done about It ? If something isn't done , Soaring in the US is going to be gone in 20 years. What are your thoughts?
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On Nov 20, 2025, at 2:12 PM, Tango Eight <tango...@gmail.com> wrote:
Ryszard: no way. I’ve known you since 2011, you don’t look any different at all. All the changes must have happened before that. Maybe you used to be handsome?
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I think there’s a useful distinction to make between decline and extinction. The sport isn’t on a straight-line trend toward oblivion. Yes, many of the reasons already mentioned (demographics, cost, access, attention spans, competition from other flying options, geography, etc.) are real and have contributed to a long, gradual contraction. But aviation trends rarely move indefinitely in one direction.
What’s more likely is that soaring in the U.S. will continue to shrink until it reaches the level supported by those changing variables — and then stabilize, not vanish. We’re already seeing this pattern: some clubs are struggling, while others are stable or even thriving because they’ve adapted with outreach, youth programs, local partnerships, and strong internal culture. Those examples matter because they show the sport is sustainable when run well, even in 2025’s environment.
Soaring won’t look like it did in the 1970s or even the early 2000s. But it’s not heading for zero. There will always be a community of people drawn to the challenge, the freedom, the atmosphere, and the magic of real cross-country flight. At some point, the numbers settle into a smaller but steady base of people who genuinely want to be here.
The productive question isn’t “How do we stop soaring from dying?” but “What size do we realistically stabilize at, and what can we do locally to be on the healthy side of that curve?” The examples already mentioned and more — youth camps, community engagement, school partnerships, visible champions, and simply creating a welcoming club environment — are exactly the kinds of things that move the needle.
In other words: challenging times, yes. Gone in 20 years? Not even close.
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On Nov 20, 2025, at 7:22 PM, Jeff Stetson <flit...@gmail.com> wrote:
All points being discussed so far are good ones. But an elephant in the room is the gradual disappearance of the middle-class over the ~50 years I've been flying. A major part of that is monetary. I, for example, graduated with a BS in 1977 with no debt. Summer and part-time jobs covered most of the costs. 5 years later, at a normal for then wage, I had a house, two cars, 3 motorcycles and 1/2 of a Citabria. Got a PPL-ASEL in new C-172's and PA-28's, then sold the Citabria to fund Commercial in a new Rallye 150ST and Instrument in a new C-177RG. Then a glider add-on at Estrella, all by age 32, all with my own money. This was not unusual. Teachers, factory workers, preachers and even housewives were doing it too. Now? Forget it. One can stoke all the wonder, hopes and dreams of kids these days and, for most, soaring is out of reach. Soar or pay on that $100k student debt? Soar or try to save for a house? All while paying $2k/month rent. And none of this is their fault.Too, the family dynamic today is far different. The peak soaring glory years of the 70's & 80's where the family vacations consisted of dad flying and the stay at home moms crewing for him with the kids in the family wagon is a fantasy for families today. Call it a plus or minus, but that's not how things work now. If there's any flying it's in power planes, a scheduled 10 am on a Saturday and home by noon, not all day at the club and maybe or maybe not fly at all.Seems to me that our most successful clubs are near major cities where statistics and income are better, yet based on fields with little or minimal power traffic. Too, those close to an airline hub pick up quite a few high-income pilots tired of flying by touch screen, often bringing their kids for lessons as well. Clubs in deeply rural areas, just aren't doing well, no matter their outreach or other programs, and many have gone under.On Thursday, November 20, 2025 at 5:48:17 PM UTC-5 Sean Franke wrote:I think there’s a useful distinction to make between decline and extinction. The sport isn’t on a straight-line trend toward oblivion. Yes, many of the reasons already mentioned (demographics, cost, access, attention spans, competition from other flying options, geography, etc.) are real and have contributed to a long, gradual contraction. But aviation trends rarely move indefinitely in one direction.
What’s more likely is that soaring in the U.S. will continue to shrink until it reaches the level supported by those changing variables — and then stabilize, not vanish. We’re already seeing this pattern: some clubs are struggling, while others are stable or even thriving because they’ve adapted with outreach, youth programs, local partnerships, and strong internal culture. Those examples matter because they show the sport is sustainable when run well, even in 2025’s environment.
Soaring won’t look like it did in the 1970s or even the early 2000s. But it’s not heading for zero. There will always be a community of people drawn to the challenge, the freedom, the atmosphere, and the magic of real cross-country flight. At some point, the numbers settle into a smaller but steady base of people who genuinely want to be here.
The productive question isn’t “How do we stop soaring from dying?” but “What size do we realistically stabilize at, and what can we do locally to be on the healthy side of that curve?” The examples already mentioned and more — youth camps, community engagement, school partnerships, visible champions, and simply creating a welcoming club environment — are exactly the kinds of things that move the needle.
In other words: challenging times, yes. Gone in 20 years? Not even close.
On Tuesday, November 18, 2025 at 6:06:39 PM UTC-7 Brian Nightingale wrote:Every year the number of new pilots gets smaller and smaller . Why is this happening , and what can be done about It ? If something isn't done , Soaring in the US is going to be gone in 20 years. What are your thoughts?
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On Nov 24, 2025, at 7:12 PM, Rex Mayes <r...@williamssoaring.com> wrote:
These points are all well taken but in my mere 42 years of growing a glider flight school in Northern California, I have observed that one cannot apply economic laws or principles to this form of aviation. I have see the richest, poorest and everyone between come and go. The ones who stick with it either have the money or find a way to pay for it. It is about passion and motivation. One cannot sell it or create it. It has to come from within and it has to be genuine. We can certainly do more to expose more people who do not discover it on their own and the SSA does a pretty good job, IMO.
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