Dear marsbeyond and other RRMM group members:
Thank you for introducing me to this interesting group, and for your
inclusion of ETT (evacuated tube transport).
Without ability to get to resources, or to have resources be transported
to us, we perish, therefore transportation is the master key to human
survival -- not only on earth, but anywhere. So, it is an absolute
given that transportation must be a key element of any long term human
activity on the moon or mars.
The most important question is what form of transportation will offer
the highest benefit to cost ratio for the anticipated needs?
I do not know much about moon or mars development, or the likely
transportation needs, yet i believe i can safely say that a traditional
railroad on the moon or mars is ridiculous. It appears (from review of
the files on this site) that at least some of the experts on this group
are in agreement with me on this.
Also, i consider that it would be foolish to specify ETT for initial
moon or mars development unless there were reasons for underground use;
OR, if ETT were first developed on earth to the point of offering LEO
insertion and recovery (reference the ETT Space Elevator (ETT-SE)
abstract i posted to the space elevator Yahoo group in 2002:
http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/space-elevator/message/642 ).
The main advantage of ETT (and the "vactrain") is elimination of
aerodynamic drag -- this is NOT a factor on the moon, and not of much
concern on mars either. So, even though i would like to be able to
promote ETT for moon and mars, in my estimation, there are likely better
choices.
I do have a few observations i will share on what is necessary to to
maximize the benefit to cost ratio (value) of a moon or mars
transportation system:
1) minimum practical vehicle design load: Due to the reduced gravity
force, larger vehicles COULD be used -- but why? It sounds impressive to
consider 747 size vehicles, however use of big vehicles increases costs
in MANY ways, yet adds little if any real benefit (especially on the
moon or mars where value will be much more important than on earth). If
you do not have to pay a driver, (or punch through atmosphere), most of
the advantages of big vehicles disappear. The vast majority (about 94%)
of items transported on earth will fit into a car, pickup, or SUV. The
median capacity of a car is around 850lbs. Car size on earth is highly
optimized by many decades of market optimization -- the standard
deviation in maximum payload is around 150lbs. On the moon, the optimal
maximum practical payload will likely be less. The minimum would be
just enough to carry a 95th percentile adult male with life support
equipment. IMO, a max payload of 200kg mass would be on the high side
of the optimum range. If the maximum design load were 200kg, the
empty vehicle mass could be as low as 50kg, for a earth weight of
2500N, and the gross moon weight would be only 400N. It takes much less
materials to produce small vehicles, and much less guideway materials
to support said vehicles. It takes much smaller facilities to produce
small vehicles compared with big vehicles. -- this will be especially
important if produced in pressurized conditions where people can work
without a pressure suit.
2) minimum guideway cross-section: A cantenary cable suspended system to
support at most 800N (2 vehicles passing) would require minimal
materials, time, and energy to produce(much lower cost than tubes).
Think of a ski area chair lift (except more like the overhead power
conductors used to supply electricity to trains or buses that use a
suspension cable and drop wires to eliminate conductor sag between
vertical support towers)-- this is MUCH less resource intensive as
typical railway tracks -- especially with regard to earth work.
3) full speed passive switching: A railroad track must physically move
to switch a vehicle from one route to another. By contrast, a freeway
is static, and the vehicle determines choice of route. The freeway
style of vehicle routing results in much higher vehicle frequency.
Capacity can be achieved two ways: big vehicles, OR high frequency of
vehicles.
4) off-line stations: A train stopped at a station limits the frequency
of vehicles that may use the track -- unless the station is off-line. A
freeway philosophy allows no stopping on the route -- all stops occur
after the vehicle diverges from the main line, and all merging takes
place at the full design speed.
5) Passive maglev like HTSM (High Temperature Superconductor Maglev):
HTSM uses permanent magnets in the guideway, and crude bulk
superconductor elements on the vehicle for stable levitation without
motion, and without electrical energy or electronic control. On the
moon or mars, the cooling requirements of HTSM would be trivial due to
access to heat sink below the transition temperature of YBCO. HTSM is
ultra reliable, and not prone to wear, also the drag is orders of
magnitude less than wheels (or most other forms of maglev). NOTE: HTSM
(developed in Chengdu China) is not EDS or EMS forms of maglev as
developed in Japan and Germany.
6) LEM (linear electric motor) with regenerative braking for propulsion:
with almost no friction, most of the energy required will be for
acceleration, and most of this energy may be recovered during
deceleration. During most of the trip, the vehicles will coast using
only a few watts of power to maintain speed and relative position to
other vehicles.
7) high design speed: time is valuable on earth, and will be even more
so on the moon or mars. High speed also enables high capacity using
small vehicles since maximum safe frequency is a function of speed.
Transportation value will be much more important on the moon or mars
than on earth. In short, railroads on the moon and mars will not be
practical for transportation needs -- there are much better ways -- like
roads/cars that have displaced trains to niche markets on earth due to
better transportation value. There are proposals for improving on the
transportation value of cars/roads, some of the best proposals for earth
transportation are known as PRT (our patented ETT technology is one form
of PRT).
IMO, ETT will not be the best form of transportation on the moon or mars
unless it is determined best for transportation to take place
underground for other reasons (on earth, underground ETT is about 3
times more costly than above ground). I suggest you consider something
like:
http://www.unimodal.com/ (aero vehicle shape will not be needed)
http://higherway.us/higherway/index.shtml (not maglev)
http://unitsky.ru/ (the small suspended version -- not maglev)
as being illustrative of some of the above principals of optimizing
transportation value for moon or mars use.
--
Best regards,
Daryl Oster
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