Meng,
This really comes down to what question you are trying to answer. Before
worrying about details of default contrasts and issues like that you first
need to work out what is really the question of interest. The main
difference between declaring a variable ordered or not is the default
contrasts. Defaults are provided because there are many cases where which
contrasts are used internally does not matter, so why make someone think
about it. In cases where the choice of contrasts matter, it is rare that
any default coding is the correct/best choice and you should really think
through what contrasts answer the question of interest and use those custom
contrasts.
For example, to answer the question if Tension has any overall effect it
does not matter which contrast encoding you use (as long as it is full
rank), the test statistic and p-value for testing the whole effect will be
the same. The predictions of the means of groups will also be the same
regardless of which contrasts are used (and this is often a clearer way to
present/explain the results).
A case where the specific contrasts would matter would be if we want to see
if we can reduce the number of groups by combining groups together, or
interpolate to certain groups. The treatment contrasts will test if low
and medium can be combined (which makes sense) and if low and high can be
combined (which does not make sense unless the first is true and in fact
the overall factor is not significant), what makes more sense would be to
compare low to medium and medium to high (it could be that low is different
from the other 2, but med and high can be combined). The polynomial
contrasts give a different view, the quadratic term in this case tests
whether the medium group is the average of the low group and the high group
(so we could interpolate medium), this only makes sense if the medium
tension is centered (in some sense) between the other 2, i.e. the
difference from low to medium is exactly the same as the difference from
medium to high, but if that were the case then I would expect a numerical
term rather than an ordered factor.
So, to summarize, it depends on the question of interest. For some
questions the contrasts don't matter, in which case it does not matter, in
other cases the correct contrasts to use are determined by the question and
you should use the contrasts that answer that question (which are rarely a
default).
--
Gregory (Greg) L. Snow Ph.D.
538...@gmail.com