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Quantity over quality is a dead end.
There is no dispute that the number of licensed amateurs is indeed growing. What is lost in the statistics is that there is a lot of uncertainty about how many of those licensed amateurs actually participate in or care about the avocation to any meaningful degree.
In 2007 the Morse Code requirement was dropped for all license classes and the written exams were dumbed down to the point that one can now get an Extra ticket with absolutely zero on-air experience and just a few evenings of memorizing test answers. The test pass rate was very high and licensing applications soared. For better or worse, lowering the bar of entry, presumably to cultivate the future of amateur radio, at least on the surface appeared to be achieving its intended result.
All those ten year term ham tickets issued during the rush of 2007-2009 will soon expire. I predict in the next year or two we will see the net growth of licensees slow down or even recede because the bandwagon-jumpers from a decade ago will not bother to renew.
If young people are the key, then we elders need a plan, a list of things we can actually go out and do, that will make a difference. I sincerely hope this is a cause every concerned ham can join no matter what side of the civil war they were on.
Promote computer-based projects. Arduino and Raspberry Pi are becoming major players on the amateur radio landscape. Many books & articles have been written on how to incorporate these technologies into radio. Like data modes and video, Arduino & Raspberry Pi are a natural comfort zone for the young and one of the best ways to plant the seeds of the future of amateur radio.
Encourage contesting. This too is a no brainer. Many teens are involved with team sports, so radio contests are inherently attractive to competitive personalities. Kids can be coached to approach radio just as they would for a sport, then have the personal satisfaction of performing their best in an on-air contest. The parallels between radio contests and youth athletics are obvious: Goal-setting, teamwork, fair play, sportsmanship, achievement. Not capitalizing on these similarities would be an appalling missed opportunity.
We need to encourage people to become amateur radio operators by stating the benefits of belonging not only to the field but also the organizations across the country. Without the infrastructure usually put up by radio clubs there would be few or no repeaters. What is going to happen in your community when disaster strikes and you have no power or internet or cell use? Amateur radio will continue to work, especially in those communities where amateur radio clubs have repeaters with back up battery use and generators ready to fire up. Look around at recent cries for state of emergencies and you will see amateur radio operators put on notice.
We had one such scenario here where an entire Island, population 4500, got knocked off the grid by a barge taking out the transmission lines for power, phone and cell towers for over a week. The residents were thrilled that an emergency response team maintained by amateur radio operators became their life line for emergency calls and to assist with getting information to relatives off island of those stuck at home with no power, no phone and no cell.
On the other hand I know I have to consistently practice with whatever my equipment is. And with radio that means listening a lot and occasionally talking. And keeping up with technological advances and possibilities. All that adds up to being an involved Ham.
Hi guys im a licenced amateur over here in the uk, got my licence in july 2012 on the entry level foundation. And i wonder why i botherd to be honest, the bands are dead 2 mtrs and 70 cms are quiet 85% of the day the repeaters are being abused by non licenced, mic keying iq0s and some licenced opps as well. I would love to move up the food chain to the intermediate and a full licence, but as i see it what benifit would i get out of progression in this dying hobby i really cannot see. The reason for the lack of activity on vhf and uhf these days in my opinion is down to digital modes, they are really screwing up amateur radio with Dstar, Fussion, and Dmr over here in the uk its taking the possible lower level licences off the analogue vhf uhf bands. In fact i put the whole hobbies downfall on past and preasent amateurs, who have by the very nature of the hobby designed these new digital modes that have in fact put the last nail in the radio amateur coffin and destroying the radio hobby.
Your theory that for some people ham radio is more social than technical has a lot of merit and probably does play a role in why things are the way they are, especially when kids are in the mix. I like your idea so much I might even do a separate article based on it.
Another activity, which is mostly social, is that several of us who are retired (and some who are not) gather for Lunch almost every day. We have one fixed location on Mondays so anyone can find us. Other days we discuss on the repeater where we want to go. Our attitude is that any mention of food is an automatic invitation to join us. This gets many members together informally where they can discuss technical issues, ask questions, and get to know each other better. It has helped the club and individual members a lot. We make certain to inform our new licensees about Lunches. Also, we invite any who are passing by on the highway to join us.
As for digital modes, this may be the salvation of our hobby with the solar cycle decreasing. Many now use D-Star, DMR, and Fusion because they can talk anywhere without waiting for conditions to improve. My understanding is that a big part of our hobby is communicating with others. Digital voice provides this as well does other digital such as JT 65 and all the others. Our younger generation is in tube with digital equipment, so why not let them see how our gigital works. Who knows, maybe they can help us older Hams with understanding digital!
I feel that we need to make everyone feel welcome in the hobby and assist them whenever possible. Yes, there is a social aspect to Ham Radio!
I used to like chatting and listening to different people and there conversations but when you have one or two who think its their private channel and dominate the airwaves it takes alot of fun out of it.
Curtis, encouraging clubs to have some kind of follow-up program is a great idea! It seems clubs are great at helping people pass tests, but not much is done afterward. It does take a significant investment of time from more experienced hams, but the long term benefit is priceless.
The should be fully aware that in the next 10 or so years a large number of the existing ham population will have passed on. A new group of hams who need better representation are the future ARRL customers/members.
That article was actually remarkable. I was pleased to see that so much work went into the research. Although the data was a bit skewed towards older Extra class participants, the results are still telling.
The entry level test involved 20 or 25 multiple choice questions and a 5 WPM code test. I you passed, you received a 2-year non-renewable novice ticket: a learners permit, if you will. 50 Kc chunks of 80, 40, and 15 meters were your HF bands, crystal controlled only, at 75 watts input. A segment of 2 meters was also available for phone.
As far as involving those younger/newer hams, I think Fusion and other digital forms of communication will be the way of the future. The excitement of talking long distance to foreign lands, has been (somewhat) diminished with the advent of the internet and cell phones over the last 20+ years. (My wife & I just finished talking with her son face to face, who is currently studying in Glasgow Scotland VIA the internet.) So, making the digital world of communication more exciting, more appealing to the younger generation, seems a logical way to go.
The public reply sections after each article are splattered with appreciative comments from hams old and new who have learned a lot from Off Grid Ham and are grateful for my no-nonsense, non-confrontational style that encourages newcomers, respects the old timers, and offers practical & positive ideas for the real world. I also get very kind emails, which are not publicly disclosed.
The short answer is no. Whilst video has undoubtedly had a colossal influence on the world, with internet users spending over 6.5 hours a week watching online videos in 2019, radio is still very much alive and kicking. In fact, radio still reaches 89% of UK adults every week in 2020. Some may attribute this figure with the fact that the older generations make up the majority of radio users. However, 77% of 15-24 year olds still tune in on a weekly basis, suggesting that the medium is still enjoyed amongst all age groups.
There are so many factors to consider, as the question goes beyond mere music videos. Video has now extended beyond shows like MTV and has taken over the internet too. 60% of people now say that they would rather watch video online than on the TV. 2018 saw the amount of watch time on YouTube quadruple in comparison to the previous year. There has also been a drastic rise in time spent watching video during the COVID-19 pandemic. Obviously with more time spent at home, people have resorted to watching more online videos (which is one of many changes in video that we have seen caused by the pandemic).
If we look at recent changes in video content, one could argue that a lot of video formats are attempting to emulate this and shift towards a more empathetic approach. This is not only true of television formats like reality TV, which has become immensely popular in recent years, but it is also proven to be an effective marketing tool. Research has shown tangibly positive results from companies that humanise their brand and acknowledge the diversity of their consumers. This was a theme that become increasingly apparent during the COVID-19 pandemic. In a time of global catastrophe, people were seeking a sense of community and a drive to fight off a mutual enemy. Video campaigns during this period that saw a sense of unity and togetherness achieve greater results.
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