Covariance matrix is singular or near-singular. Standard errors may be unstable

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D. K

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Sep 29, 2023, 4:15:39 PM9/29/23
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Hello

I’ve run a state space VARMAX (AR(1)) model, and while it converged, I got two warnings at the end.

[1] Covariance matrix calculated using the outer product of gradients (complex-step). 

[2] Covariance matrix is singular or near-singular, with condition number 9.69e+20. Standard errors may be unstable.

Should I worry about each of those, especially number 2?


David

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