Dear PVlib Community,
I wanted to follow up on our previous discussion about tracking misalignment and share the latest findings from my comprehensive study at work
"Comprehensive Performance Evaluation of Single-Axis Solar Tracking Systems: Tracking Error Analysis and Comparison with Fixed-Tilt Systems."
Methodology
Building on our previous exchange, I implemented a robust methodology to properly simulate tracking errors:
1. Correct Error Implementation: Rather than simply adding offsets to surface tilt (which created inconsistencies), I modified the tracking angle calculation directly by applying the offset to the tracker theta value before calculating surface orientation parameters.
2. Simulation Framework: Using pvlib-python with clear-sky modeling (Ineichen) for Seville, Spain (37.58°N, 6.03°W), I systematically evaluated tracking errors from ±1° to ±25°.
3.Validation: Results were validated against professional PVsyst V8.0.15 simulations using real meteorological data, confirming the reliability of our approach.
4. GHI-Based Analysis: I developed a novel approach to analyze error sensitivity across different irradiance conditions by grouping data into 200 W/m² GHI ranges.
Key Findings
1. Robust Performance: Single axis tracking systems demonstrate remarkable tolerance to tracking errors:
-Errors ±1-3°: Negligible losses (<0.1%)
-Error ±5°: Only 0.31% loss vs. ideal tracking
-Error ±10°: 1.47% loss
-Error ±20°: 5.09% loss
2. Tracking vs. Fixed Comparison: Even with significant errors, tracking maintains substantial advantage:
-Ideal tracking: +14.20% gain over fixed-tilt (validated with PVsyst showing +16.52%)
-With ±5° error: Still maintains +13.80% gain
-With ±20° error: Still maintains +8.38% gain
3.Irradiance-Dependent Sensitivity: Maximum relative sensitivity occurs in moderate irradiance conditions (200-400 W/m²) with 5.72% loss for ±20° error, while absolute energy losses peak during high-irradiance periods.
4.Technology Comparison: Flat-plate PV systems can tolerate errors approximately 10× larger than CPV systems for equivalent percentage losses, making them significantly more robust.
5. Economic Analysis: Biannual calibration targeting a precision of ±5° yields an optimal return on investment (ROI > 250%). Tracking remains economically viable even with errors up to ±20°. These figures do not include consolidated data from operations and maintenance (O&M) services.
Practical Recommendations
- Target Precision: ±2° to ±5°
- Calibration Frequency: Annual or biannual
- Monitoring Thresholds: Alert if error exceeds ±8-10°
- Timing: Calibrate before winter (higher seasonal sensitivity)
This research provides quantitative thresholds for operational decision-making and demonstrates the robustness of single-axis tracking investment for utility-scale solar installations.
Thank you all for your valuable input that helped shape this research. The attached full "pseudo paper" includes detailed analysis, economic optimization, and comparison with other technologies.
Best regards,
Pablo Climent