PROFORECASTS 6/19/07 TUE Premium (including Free and Subscriber)
ProPredict
Updated during the day by text-message and email if necessary.
Accuracy: yesterday 86.3%**; last week 85.6%; +3890 pips.
All Results and documentation listed at www.proforecasts.com/results.htm
How Best to Use ProForecats and Sample Portfolios: http://proforecasts.com/guide.htm
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Today's Featured Article: http://www.investors.com/
*** I still believe this is the beginning of the summer correction,
more about this as it comes. Last Thursday we sold all short-term
stocks and that stays in cash for today. ProFunds and all DJIA, SP500
and Nasdaq options and futures and going temporarily back into long
positions for now. Long-term stock portfolios stay invested as always.
>>>Free ProForecasts: World Markets Weekly!
(Subscriber and Premium below if subscriber):
Weekly Market Forecasts and Last Week's Results (50%)
Still practicing on world markets for the week.
US:
DJIA (13639.48): this week flat/UP; (inaccurate last week)
SP500 (1532.91): this week flat/UP; (inaccurate last week)
Nasdaq (2626.71): this week flat/UP; (inaccurate last week)
TNotes (96-31): this week flat/down; (accurate last week)
Australia: ASX 200 Index (6333.00) flat/UP (inaccurate last week)
New Zealand: NZX 50 FF Index (4296.66) flat/UP (inaccurate last
week)
Japan: NIKKEI Index (18,125.39) flat/UP (accurate last week)
Hong Kong: Hang Seng Index (21,017.05) flat/UP (accurate last week)
China: SHSE-SZSE300 Index (4099.38) flat/DOWN (accurate last week)
Qatar: DSM 20 Index (7361.70) flat/up (accurate last week)
India: BSE SENSEX 30 (14,162.71) flat/down (accurate last week)
UK: FTSE 400 (6732.40) flat/UP (inaccurate last week)
Germany: DAX (8030.64) flat/up (accurate last week)
France: CAC 40 (6105.28) flat/UP (inaccurate last week)
Results from Last Week:
UP 21% annualized in CBS MarketWatch!
UP 24.1% annualized average in stock portfolios since 2003!
(For all major funds the three year annualized return is from 3.49%
to at best 20.89%. We beat them all!)
UP 28.2 % annualized for Stocks of the Day!
UP 28.6% annualized in DIA!
UP 31.5% annualized in QQQQ!
UP 32.2% annualized in SPY!
UP 69.0% annualized in ProFunds!
UP 118% annualized in Recommended Stocks in four days (1.9% in four
days)!
UP 100.2% (226.5% annualized) in futures (all yr-long funds stay
same for long-term)!
>>>Subscriber ProForecasts: ProFunds, Options, Stocks of the Day,
Stocks per Day, LT Stocks! (Premium below if subscriber):
ProFunds: 80.87 -0.22
From previous open position: +24.93, annualized 69.0%)
Options:
DIA: 135.94 -0.25
+17.31, annualized 28.6%
SPY: 152.89 -0.18
+21.98, annualized 32.2%
QQQQ: 47.77 +0.04
+6.61, annualized 31.5%
Stocks of the Day:
From previous portfolio closed Monday, April 23, 2007: +72.5
annualized 25.1%
From previous portfolio closed June, 2007 +72.9 annualized %
Total +145.44; annualized: 28.2%
NONE at this time; all cash for now.
Stocks to Consider for Significant Movement per Day This Week:
(consider buying now or the day before)
NONE at this time; all cash for now.
Twelve Stocks to Consider for Long-Term Portfolio:
Including price and their ranking on MSN Stock Scouter 1-10
WHR (112.40), 7
BDK (95.19), 8
ATI (115.18), 6
BGC (65.57), 9
HON (57.79), 8
ASD (57.02), 6
JCI (109.91), 8
MDR (70.65), 6
FWLT (95.91), 6
CAT (74.88), 7
TEX (82.34), 9
DE (120.00), 7
Total: 999.05
Now: 1097.1 9.8% in six weeks; 21.3% annualized.
>>>Premium ProForecasts
% is accuracy yesterday;
Quote is yesterday's close;
** = accurate; * = difference not significant(0.5% or less);
no * = inaccurate;
d = down (usually indicating stay in position);
s = sideways (usually within 0.5% indicating do nothing);
u = up (usually indicating stay in position)
(if capitalized, forecast has changed since last forecast, usually
indicating a potential trade or close position)
PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (88%)
DJIA 13612.98 ** su
SP500 1531.05 ** su
Nasdaq 2626.60 ** su
Note10yr 97-04 * sd
Gold 660.80 ** u
Silver 13.265 ** U
Copper 340.20 * u
Oil 68.94 ** u
HOil 202.95 ** u
NGas 7.665 D
Example of Text-Message Sent:
PF-FE: DJ106a20S SP1195.70S NA1576S NT1112.9s GD423.5SD SL6.65sd
CP140.15sd OL48.28S HO134.38u NG60.80sd
PROFUTURES-Farm (57%)
Wheat 609.00 u
Corn 422.00 u
Soybeans 855.00 u
BeanOil 36.09 ** u
Cotton 59.18 * u
Cattle 91.25 ** u
Hogs 75.00 * u
Sugar 9.56 * U
Coffee 117.05 ** S
Cocoa 1964 ** u
example of Text-Message Sent:
PF-F: WH296.5sd CN196d SY513.5d BO28.88u CT46.71su CA91.12u HG75.57su
SG8.84sd CF104.4SU CC14.96d
PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%):
AustralianD .8410 ** U
GBP 1.9809 ** U
Canadian$ .9323 ** d
Euro 1.3402 ** u
Yen .8093 ** d
Swiss 8062 * d
Real: .5248 ** s
Peso: .092750 ** s
US$ 82.784 * u
Yuan (to $): 0.0835 ** s
example of Text-Message Sent : 16su
PF-C: AUD75.33sd GBP18599d CAD81.79SD EUR130.4d JPY98.16su CHF84.16sd
RL.4615s PS.091050s USD83.46su
PROFUTURES-Forex (100%):
AUD/USD: .8428 * S
GBP/JPY: 245.37 ** U
GBP/USD: 1.9847 ** S
EUR/GBP: .6763 ** S
EUR/JPY: 165.91 ** u
EUR/CHF: 1.6662 ** u
EUR/USD: 1.3422 ** s
USD/CAD: 1.0711 ** u
USD/JPY: 123.62 ** u
USD/CHF: 1.2412 * u
example of Text-Message Sent:
PF-X: A/U.7570sd C/Y223.51s G/U1.8650sd E/G.6759s E/Y133.46sd
E/F1.5434s E/U1.3023sd U/C1.2206s U/Y102.48s U/F1.1849su
>>>Results:
All documented and linked at www.proforecasts.com/results.htm
Futures: 2007: +669; 2006: +3221; total +3890
Futures (www.mocktrading.com):
2003-2006: 1020.6%
2006: 219%
2007: 100.2% (annualized 217.1%)
Stocks: CBS MarketWatch (http://vse.marketwatch.com/Game/):
2006: 53.21%
2007: 9.67% (21.0% annualized) AHEAD OF THE DJIA, SP500 & NASDAQ!
Marketocracy (www.marketocracy.com): average: 24.1%
Portfolio-Conservative: 2003-2007: 98.9%; annualized: 23.6%
Portfolio-Aggressive: 2003-2007: 116.5%; annualized: 27.8%
Portfolio-Speculative: 2003-2007: 85.5%; annualized: 20.4%
Portfolio-2006-2007: 35.9%; annualized 24.6%
>>>Documentation:
The Yahoo group is the main group where the predictions have been
listed since 2003 but the ProForecasts are also listed by 9:25amET at:
ProForecasts site: http://www.proforecasts.com/today.htm
BayStreet.com: http://www.baystreet.ca/forums/forum.cfm?FID=13
Blogger: http://www.blogger.com/posts.g?blogID=10103733
Google-Groups: http://groups-beta.google.com/group/propredictions
ICQ-Currents Events:
http://groups.icq.com/groups/group_details.php?gid=11996894
ICQ-News & Media:
http://groups.icq.com/groups/group_details.php?gid=11996893
MySpace: http://blog.myspace.com/propredict
Topica:
http://lists.topica.com/lists/propredictions1/prefs/?sid=958627022
MSN: http://groups.msn.com/ProPredictions/_whatsnew.msnw
>>>Sources We Summarize to Find Consensus:
1. Investor's Business Daily Top 100
2. Channeling Stocks
3. Guerilla Trades
4. Morningstar
5. Zacks
6. ValueLine
7. Barron's ("Barron's Effect")
8. CNBC ("CNBC Bounce")
9. Mad Money
10. Saturday Fox Business four shows (Bull & Bears, etc.)
11. over 12 more investing newsletters
12. over 24 more 'tips" sources
We read and listen to these respectable sources to obtain the stocks
and investments that have great fundamentals, sector and technical
analysis (why duplicate what these sources already do well), then use
the summary and consensus of them to pick from for our intuitive
analysis. If you have any other sources, you think we should be
considering, please let us know. Thanks!
>>>Market Timing Accuracy Requirement:
*1"one must be able to predict the market with at least 83% accuracy,
a predictive ability that would be extremely difficult for even the
best market timer to sustain...If one compares the market timer's
return to that of a portfolio of stocks and cash weighted to have the
same standard deviation as the market timer's portfolio, the result
is that the market timer must be correct 74% of the time in order to
perform better than the passive portfolio of the same risk. So even
after adjusting for risk, a significant predictive ability still is
required." (William Sharpe, "Likely Gains from Market Timing",
MBA-Finance Dept). http://www.quickmba.com/finance/invest/timing/
>>>Subscriber Questions and Answers;