PROFORECASTS 5/18/07 FRI Free/Subscriber/Premium
ProPredict
(updated during the day by text-message and email if necessary)
(yesterday 81.8%***, last week 85.1%, history 82%+) +3818 pips
******NEW EASIER TO READ FORMAT STARTING SOON******
143.2% annualized in Daily Stocks to Consider per day of the week (see
at bottom)!
RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK: UP 597 pips in Forex! UP 19.5% for Stocks of
the Day! UP 1.9% in recommended stocks in four days (118%
annualized)! All year-long funds stay same for long-term! Wanting to
make sure of capital preservation, so hopefully I can forecast the
next big correction that is coming!" 14.4% annualized in CBS
MarketWatch! Average annualized return of 22.7% in stock portfolios
since 2003! (For all major funds the three year annualized return is
from 3.49% to at best 20.89%. We beat them all!) ProFunds up 84.6%
annualized! DIA up 32.0% annualized! SPY up 34.8% annualized! QQQQ
up 32.2% annualized! In this market we are getting very respectful
returns, beating all major funds, most other funds! NEVER A LOSS!"
PLEASE FEEL FREE TO FORWARD TO ANYONE!
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A - For FREE Subscribers:
These are FREE to everyone! To receive the forecasts for Stocks of
the Day, ProFunds, DIA, SPY and QQQQ, subscribe to membership at
www.propredict.proforecasts.com/subscribe.htm To receive the
forecasts on all 40 commodities, currencies and forex futures,
subscribe to the premium membership at www.proforecasts.com .
RESULTS: (all documented and linked at www.proforecasts.com/results.htm)
Futures (www.mocktrading.com):
2003-2006: 1020.6%
2006: 219%
2007: 85.9% (annualized 235.1%)
Stocks: CNBC Million$ Challenge (www.cnbc.com): starts over
Stocks: CBS MarketWatch (http://vse.marketwatch.com/Game/):
2006: 53.21%
2007: 5.27% (14.4% annualized)
Marketocracy (www.marketocracy.com): average: 22.7%
Portfolio-Conservative: 2003-2007: 92.1%; annualized: 22.4%
Portfolio-Aggressive: 2003-2007: 110.4%; annualized: 26.8%
Portfolio-Speculative: 2003-2007: 69.8%; annualized: 17%
Portfolio-2006-2007: 33.5%; annualized 24.5%
HOW BEST TO USE PROFORECASTS: http://proforecasts.com/guide.htm
WEEKLY MARKET FORECAST AND LAST WEEK RESULTS 92%:
US:
DJIA (13326.22): this week flat/up; (accurate last week)
SP500 (1505.85): this week flat/DOWN; (accurate last week)
Nasdaq (2562.22): this week flat/UP; (accurate last week)
TNotes (100-23): this week flat/down; (accurate last week)
Australia:
ASX 200 Index (6297.40) flat/UP (accurate last week)
New Zealand:
NZX 50 FF Index (4226.39) flat/down (accurate last week)
Japan:
NIKKEI Index (17,553.72) flat/DOWN (insignificant last week)
Hong Kong:
Hang Seng Index (20,468.21) flat/down (accurate last week)
China:
SHSE-SZSE300 Index (3702.61) flat/down (inaccurate last week)
Qatar:
DSM 20 Index (7014.57) flat/DOWN (accurate last week)
India:
BSE SENSEX 30 (13,796.16) flat/down (accurate last week)
UK:
FTSE 400 (6565.70) flat/down (accurate last week)
Germany:
DAX (7479.34) flat/UP (accurate last week)
France:
CAC 40 (6050.63) flat/DOWN (accurate last week)
B - For Subscribers by 9:00amET. Everyone by 4:00pmET:
These are available to premium subscribers by 9:00amET! Subscribe at
www.proforecasts.proforecasts.com/subscribe.htm
Free to all by 4:00pmET at links above! Time/date-stamped at
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STOCKS OF THE DAY:
(to consider buying if appropriate for long-term diversified
portfolio):
PREVIOUS STOCK THE DAY AND RESULTS:
DSL (69.33 +0.80), CHTR (3.56 -0.07), AMX (57.14 +2.26), TTEK (20.76
+0.33)
UTX (69.37 +0.89)
COHR (29.30 -0.45)
PVH (53.94 -0.15)
YHOO (28.58 -0.74)
AAPL (109.44 +2.10)
GOOG (470.96 +9.18)
PG (63.37 +0.05)
HAL (36.35 +2.28), MO (69.80 +0.87)
+17,08 = +7.36;
>From previous portfolio closed Monday, April 23, 2007: +72.5
annualized 25.1%
total so far: 7.4%; annualized: 20.2%
ProFunds: ULPIX 79.27 +1.17 (last week +0.02 = +23.04, annualized
80.2%)
Options:
DIA: 134.93 +0.81 (last week: +0.82 = +15.63, annualized 32.0%)
SPY: 151.30 +0.73 (last week: -0.06 = +19.20, annualized 34.8%)
QQQQ: 46.33 +0.23 (last week: +0.15 = +5.50, annualized 32.2%)
Futures: 2007: +597; 2006: +3221; total +3818
(see www.proforecasts.com/results.htm for results of previous stocks
of the day)
THE YAHOO GROUP IS THE MAIN GROUP WHERE THE PREDICTIONS HAVE BEEN
LISTED SINCE 2003 BUT PREDICTIONS ALSO LISTED BY 9:25AM AT:
ProForecasts site: http://www.proforecasts.com/today.htm
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Blogger: http://www.blogger.com/posts.g?blogID=10103733
Google-Groups: http://groups-beta.google.com/group/propredictions
ICQ-Currents Events:
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ICQ-News & Media:
http://groups.icq.com/groups/group_details.php?gid=11996893
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Topica:
http://lists.topica.com/lists/propredictions1/prefs/?sid=958627022
MSN: http://groups.msn.com/ProPredictions/_whatsnew.msnw
C - For Premium Subscribers by 9:00amET. Everyone by 4:00pmET:
These are available to premium subscribers by 9:00amET! Subscribe at
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% is accuracy yesterday;
** = accurate; * = difference not significant(0.5% or less);
no * = inaccurate
d = down (usually indicating stay in position);
s = sideways (usually within 0.5% indicating do nothing);
u = up (usually indicating stay in position)
(if capitalized, forecast has changed since last forecast, usually
indicating a potential trade or close position)
PROFUTURES-Finance/Energy (89%)
DJIA 13476.72 ** su
SP500 1512.75 ** su
Nasdaq 2539.38 ** S
Note10yr 99-23 * SD
Gold 658.40 ** d
Silver 12.945 ** d
Copper 329.75 ** D
Oil 64.85 S
HOil 192.90 ** U
NGas 8.114 ** U
Example of Text-Message Sent:
PF-FE: DJ106a20S SP1195.70S NA1576S NT1112.9s GD423.5SD SL6.65sd
CP140.15sd OL48.28S HO134.38u NG60.80sd
PROFUTURES-Farm (38%)
Wheat 503.50 ** sd
Corn 371.00 sd
Soybeans 781.00 ** u
BeanOil 34.60 ** u
Cotton 47.75 SU
Cattle 93.025 S
Hogs 73.625 SU
Sugar 8.65 * d
Coffee 107.30 U
Cocoa 1901 * SU
example of Text-Message Sent:
PF-F: WH296.5sd CN196d SY513.5d BO28.88u CT46.71su CA91.12u HG75.57su
SG8.84sd CF104.4SU CC14.96d
PROFUTURES-Curriencies (100%):
AustralianD .8224 * SD
GBP 1.9746 ** sd
Canadian$ .9102 * SU
Euro 1.3510 ** sd
Yen .8274 ** d
Swiss 8167 ** sd
Real: .49167 ** s
Peso: .092475 ** s
US$ 82.23 ** s
Yuan (to $): 0.0835 ** s
example of Text-Message Sent : 16su
PF-C: AUD75.33sd GBP18599d CAD81.79SD EUR130.4d JPY98.16su CHF84.16sd
RL.4615s PS.091050s USD83.46su
PROFUTURES-Forex (100%):
AUD/USD: .8228 * s
GBP/JPY: 239.51 ** s
GBP/USD: 1.9748 ** s
EUR/GBP: .6834 ** s
EUR/JPY: 163.67 ** s
EUR/CHF: 1.6563 ** s
EUR/USD: 1.3495 * s
USD/CAD: 1.0998 ** S
USD/JPY: 121.30 ** su
USD/CHF: 1.2273 * s
example of Text-Message Sent:
PF-X: A/U.7570sd C/Y223.51s G/U1.8650sd E/G.6759s E/Y133.46sd
E/F1.5434s E/U1.3023sd U/C1.2206s U/Y102.48s U/F1.1849su
Disclaimer: Always do your own research and consult with your own
financial experts as there is no guarantee that these forecasts will
be accurate. Also you can make a bad trade on an accurate prediction
so have your own strategy and back-test it.
***"one must be able to predict the market with at least 83% accuracy,
a predictive ability that would be extremely difficult for even the
best market timer to sustain...If one compares the market timer's
return to that of a portfolio of stocks and cash weighted to have the
same standard deviation as the market timer's portfolio, the result
is that the market timer must be correct 74% of the time in order to
perform better than the passive portfolio of the same risk. So even
after adjusting for risk, a significant predictive ability still is
required." (William Sharpe, "Likely Gains from Market Timing",
MBA-Finance Dept). http://www.quickmba.com/finance/invest/timing/
THE SOURCES WE SUMMARIZE TO FIND CONSENSUS:
1. Investor's Business Daily Top 100
2. Channeling Stocks
3. Guerilla Trades
4. Morningstar
5. Zacks
6. ValueLine
7. Barron's ("Barron's Effect")
8. CNBC ("CNBC Bounce")
9. Mad Money
10. Saturday Fox Business four shows (Bull & Bears, etc.)
11. over 12 more investing newsletters
12. over 24 more `tips" sources
We read and listen to these respectable sources to obtain the stocks
and investments that have great fundamentals, sector and technical
analysis (why duplicate what these sources already do well), then use
the summary and consensus of them to pick from for our intuitive
analysis. If you have any other sources, you think we should be
considering, please let us know. Thanks!
propr...@proforecasts.com
www.proforecasts.com
12 STOCKS TO CONSIDER FOR LONG-TERM PORTFOLIO:
Including price and their ranking on MSN Stock Scouter 1-10
WHR (112.40), 7
BDK (95.19), 8
ATI (115.18), 6
BGC (65.57), 9
HON (57.79), 8
ASD (57.02), 6
JCI (109.91), 8
MDR (70.65), 6
FWLT (95.91), 6
CAT (74.88), 7
TEX (82.34), 9
DE (120.00), 7
STOCKS TO CONSIDER FOR SIGNIFICANT MOVEMENT PER DAY THIS WEEK:
(consider buying now or the day before)
MON: JBX (73.88 +2.64)
TUE: TMO (53.45 +0.07), HD (38.30 -0.71), TJX (27.75 -0.62)
Total so far: 1.38; 90% annualized
WED: DE (123.25 +3.25), CLF (75.00 +1.40)
THU: JCP (79.74 +4.02), KSS (74.16 +2.20)
Total: 12.25; total: 2.2%; annualized: 143.2%
FRI: none