These facts are helpful, thanks. And I appreciate the frankness.
I certainly don't speak for the State PDMPs. We have clashed often in the past, and many of them may be diametrically opposed to my comments below. But it may be helpful to at least explore why the metaphor of one tail wagging one dog may be misleading. I'd proffer that there are actually 50 tails and several dozen dogs, and the shared national goal is to somehow getting them all wagging and walking in perfect harmony (please don't ask me to diagram it).
The tails are the 50 sovereign state governments, each of which must be sensitive to the parochial needs of its constituents, even if this does fail to serve a purported broader "national" mission (and causes my hair to gray prematurely).
The several dozen dogs are all the domains in which the States wish their electronic records systems to interoperate, including transportation, public safety, courts, motor vehicles, homeland security, the various health domains, etc., etc. PDMP is but a tiny slice that stretches across multiple domains (at least several health sub-domains plus law enforcement, perhaps others).
The SCRIPT specification may represent the best expression of interoperability standards ever developed. From a state perspective, however, adopting it for PDMP exchanges would likely engender little benefit for any of the other "dogs" (other domains). They could just as readily argue that the current Initiative is attempting to have the SCRIPT tail wag the state interoperability dog.
NIEM is at least intended to serve multiple domains. A state decision to adopt a NIEM-based data interoperability specification for PDMPs is entirely consistent with the holistic state goal of utilizing a common data modeling approach across all domains. SCRIPT would likely not serve this purpose (probably never intended to do so).
It may also help to bear in mind that the states don't enjoy nearly the fiscal flexibility that the Federal Government does. By adopting both NIEM and SCRIPT, a State would necessarily be draining resources away from some other area. It's a zero-sum game for them.
On the other hand, if funds were being provided externally, with no hit to any state fisc, the resource constraints might not be so binding and multiple standards could be justified.
Otherwise, faced with having to use more of their own scarce resources, the states might be able to defend a NIEM adoption decision more readily to their constituents. They could even argue that they're serving a broader national interest at the same time.
In fact, some of the states may be scratching their heads wondering why the Federal Government itself isn't of a uniform mind in this regard. Perhaps the wagging tails number more than merely 50?
Alternatively, somebody could start lobbying for a national PDMP and have all the data flow directly to the Federal Government (let me know how that effort goes).