Most users will be comfortable with the idea of using a proportion of variance represented as a measure of fit of an ordination to the data. For most ordinations there is a single measure of fit that is generally agreed upon. With NMS, however, there are several ways to express fit. By default, PC-ORD reports several measures of fit for NMS, so that you can use the form that makes most sense to you.
Definitions
S = scaled stress, 0-1 scale (in PC-ORD, stress formula 1 of Kruskal (1964a, b))
SR1 = √S (square root of S)
SR100 = 100√S (square root of S rescaled to 0-100)
Smin = Minimum final stress, real data
S0 = Average stress of initial configurations
Sp = Average final stress after data have been permuted within columns (species)
r = Pearson correlation coefficient
Dobs = observed distances (e.g. in species space)
Dord = ordination distances
Dmono = distances after shifting points to monotonicity in Shepard plot
Names |
Calculation |
Null model |
Notes |
nonmetric fit |
R2n = 1 – (SR1)2 |
All observations lie on same point (stress is maximal) |
Intrinsic measure for NMS because it seeks to minimize stress (S) |
"fit-based R2" and "linear fit" in function stressplot in vegan |
R2l = [r(Dord, Dmono)]2 |
All ordination distances are equal (monotonic line is flat) |
N-1 dimensions needed for null model of N points, so this null model is geometrically impossible in the ordination space (Oksanen 2013) |
metric fit |
R2m = [r(Dord, Dobs)]2 |
No linear relationship (slope = 0) between observed distances and ordination distances |
Widely used but foreign criterion to NMS because NMS does not attempt to maximize this measure of fit. Allows partitioning of fit by axis. Is usually lower than nonmetric fit, although they tend to covary unless the Shepard plot is strongly nonlinear. |
CHANCE-CORRECTED EVALUATIONS (0 = random expectation, 1 = perfect fit, < 0 = worse than random expectation) | |||
Improvement (from initial stress)
|
I = 1 - (Smin / S0) |
Final configuration no better than initial random configuration |
Compare lowest final stress with average stress from of a large number of random starting configurations, the coordinates assigned as uniform random variables. |
Association (by shuffling within columns) |
A = 1 – (Smin / Sp) |
Relationships among variables (species) no stronger than expected chance |
Compare lowest final stress with average final stress from a large number of randomizations of the data matrix, shuffling within columns, before calculation of distance matrix. |
When in doubt, simply report the final stress, which is an inverse measure of fit. However, people often like to think of fit with an R2–like statistic. The nonmetric fit is closest to the "native" measure of fit, but one can argue that it exaggerates the fit by comparing the result to an unrealistic null model.
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