No sane Pakistani leader would order Pahalgam operation under its present economic conditions . The ruling party of Nawaz Sharif had faced fallouts of Kargil and shameful unconditional withdrawal after begging President Clinton . It also had faced consequence Pathankot , Uri attack . Also Nawaz Sharif is committed to improving relations with India . President Zardari knows the consequences of Mumbai Attack and would not start a futile war .
So why Pahalgaon now ?
General Munir’s stupidly disastrous speech to overseas Pakistanis on Muslims not being able to live with hindus and revival of two nation theory was at best ill timed and at worst a go ahead signal to Hafiz Saeed’s LeT to undertake Pahalgam massacre . Even prominent Pakistanis like Shahbaz Gill in USA , stated that in seventy years things have changed world over say in Saudi Arabia vis a vis women driving , like African status in USA etc . So Gen Munir’s anti hindu rants were not only in bad taste but out of time .
Vital Question is why Munir raked up an old issue reversing General Bajwa’s peaceful LOC / border initiative . More over knowing the weakness of Pakistan economy why risk a war now ?
A simple explanation is that Munir wants extension beyond retirement in November . He is very unpopular and his wars in Balochistan , NWFP , Afghanistan have all backfired . So he must gain popularity by winning some skirmish with India citing Zafar Express etc as Indian handiwork with no trace of evidence .