>Russia is planning an armed “provocation” on Polish soil to test Nato’s resolve, the United States has warned.
>Polish critical infrastructure could be targeted by missiles and drones or Russian soldiers could cross the border into Nato territory.
>Washington has issued several warnings to Warsaw about the plot
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/07/03/russia-planning-attack-on-poland-test-nato-resolve-us-warns>Two countries on Nato’s eastern flank have warned that Russia is preparing a possible “provocation” in the Baltic states or Poland in an effort to test the cohesion of the western military alliance.
>On Monday, Latvian intelligence said: “We see indications that Russia is preparing military provocations against the Baltic countries or Poland.”
>A senior political source from a second Nato member made a similar statement last week. They said “we are picking up intelligence” that Vladimir Putin was “planning something against the Baltic states”.
>On Thursday night, Poland’s prime minister went on record with his own concerns.
“We also share, without exception, the opinion that the situation is very unstable and various types of escalation can be expected in the coming weeks and months,”
>Ukraine has gradually developed a homegrown deep strike attack capability able to hit targets 2,000km inside Russia. Last week nearly 200 drones hit several locations in Moscow and black oil rained down on parts of the Russian capital after a refinery was bombed.
>A western military source said there was a concern that Russia could lash out if Putin thought he was under pressure as the war shifted to the skylines of Moscow and St Petersburg. “I cannot lie, that is a period of danger,” they said.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/jun/26/russia-provocation-baltic-states-poland