Erik,
I don’t think this is a modelling problem; this is an archaeological problem. What was dated? Only annual samples from absolutely not redeposited contexts will date the burning event. If you date a timber from a burnt house, you are dating the time the ring(s) you sent to the laboratory were growing. If you date a burnt piece of wattle, that is a better indication of the date when the house was constructed, not when it burnt down. You are looking for charred grain in a storage bin, a leg of mutton on the kitchen table. Once you have had a hard stare at the dated material, you may be able to say that samples relating to the construction of the house are earlier than samples that were in it when it was burnt down.
If you have a mixed bag of samples, then you may have to manage their defects in the modelling process. Try a Charcoal outlier model for anything that may have an old-wood offset, and a tau boundary for the burning event (ie things in the house a more likely to be close in age to the burning event than a long way away from it).
Hope this helps,
Alex
From: ox...@googlegroups.com [mailto:ox...@googlegroups.com]
On Behalf Of Erik Marsh
Sent: 18 February 2021 16:59
To: OxCal
Subject: Dating a burn event?
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