You can't draw any conclusions from this because you're losing the guide star all the time. And that's made worse by your insistence on trying to pick the star yourself rather than doing an auto-find with PHD2. To get any insight into what's going on, you need to do the following:
1. Make sure the guide camera is well-focused using the Star Profile tool or some other method that gives you quantitative feedback
2. Run the test when there are clear skies and don't point near the moon
3. Disable star-mass detection in PHD2
4. Build and use a dark library
5. Always use PHD2 auto-find to select multiple guide stars
6. Make sure the scope is well-balanced and all clutches are completely tight
7. Use the Calibration Assistant for all calibrations and follow all of its recommendations. Don't ever try to calibrate while pointing at the celestial pole.
You should probably also review the Basic Use section of the User Guide and the Best Practices document which cover all these topics.
https://openphdguiding.org/documentation/
https://openphdguiding.org/phd2-best-practices/
If you do all of these things and still can't get a calibration, we can take another look at your log files and try to help you out.
Regards,
Bruce