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Alex,I don't understand the following sentence: "I somehow missed that they already have their own foundational models."What are you missing? And how is that related to my note below?Who is "they"? The Gartner group? The AI people that the Gartner authors have interviewed? Somebody who uses LLMs? Everybody who uses LLMs?I don't believe that any two people who fall into any of those groups have the same "foundational model".And I don't know what you mean by a "foundational model". Is it an ontology of some kind? Is it a theory of some kind? Is it a structure of some kind that could be described or specified by some set of axioms? Is it something that was generated by some computer program? How? or Why?JohnFrom: "Alex Shkotin" <alex.s...@gmail.com>John,I somehow missed that they already have their own foundational models.Alexвт, 5 сент. 2023 г. в 17:40, John F Sowa <so...@bestweb.net>:Alex,On the position in the hype cycle, I agree with Gartner (and their AI advisers). Generative AI is at the "Peak of inflated expectations" and it's ready to plunge into the "Trough of disillusionment". But many AI people are already looking at the long-range plateau, where they consider it just one more tool in the AI toolkit -- important, but not the only pony in the race. See the attached AIhype.gif.And by the way, investors (people with Big Money) are beginning to agree with that point. NVIDIA makes the chips that are used in huge quantities to process the raw data (huge volumes of texts) that are scanned to derive the LLMs. Their stock price rose rapidly when investors thought that more companies were going to be processing large volumes of texts. But recently, NVIDIA's stock price crashed. That's a clue.I also noticed the Garner timeline for AGI: coming close to its peak, but the yellow triangle is a warning that it will take more than 10 years to reach the plateau. I believe that the time is more than 50 years. In any case, long-term investors ignore anything that will take more than 10.I noticed that neuro-symbolic is very low in Gartner's chart. It is far from a peak, and it has a yellow triangle. That is the kiss of death for investors. They consider it a loser.But I believe that looking at evidence from neuroscience is important for AI research. However, investors don't want to pour money into research because it's not profitable. If you want to get funding for research, it's important to find or invent good buzz words.John
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John,
In practice, the inventor chooses the name "as God puts on his soul" (rus:"как Бог на душу положит") for his invention. And we have to immerse ourselves in the terminology of a particular science or technology to humbly master their "bird language". It is almost impossible to convince them to replace the term, because it is already part of the life of this community.
Why is the theory of directed graphs with composition of arrows called category theory?
Why did the DBMS guys call their company Oracle?
And so on.
Therefore, I came, I learned, I use it.
Alex
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Dear and respected colleagues,
Just an illustration (excellent article) of what John Sowa describes:
Transformers Revolutionized AI. What Will Replace Them? (forbes.com)
Mihai Nadin
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John et al.,
We have come close to my favorite topic: framework for theory (theoretical knowledge), which I propose to consider using the example of genomics.
Give me the weekend to think carefully about the answer.
Alex
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John,
I naively thought of writing something useful over the weekend. I made a mistake. Writing message No. 1 about the framework of the theory is postponed to weekdays.
I will briefly answer your letter for now.
JFS: "If we all agree that Lenat failed"
I disagree. I need to see what will happen to the project next.
JFS: "(1) Emphasize the DOL standard for supporting interoperability among multiple independently developed ontologies."
The essentials of the various ontologies will be collected in the framework of the theory. There we can formalize it in any language. Not necessarily those selected by the DOL. It is possible on those collected in hets.eu and in general any.
JFS: "But I doubt that any framework based on any methodology can do what Lenat failed to do in 40 years with a large number of very good programmers, logicians, linguists, ontologists, and specialists in various subfields."
The task is posed completely differently, i.e. vice versa: specialists in various subfields, attracting, as usual, good programmers, logicians, linguists, ontologists will create frameworks for their theories.
Alex
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John,
Very briefly about formal definitions. The formal definition should be compared with an engineering drawing.
Everyone uses various devices, but few people can and should be able to read engineering drawings.
The construction of formal definitions is important, for example, because they can be transferred to robots.
Alex
Alex, Gary, Dan B.
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John,
I should remember that you call some structures diagrams. So when you have science of diagrams, I just need to plug in the science of structures.
And I completely agree that the derivations on the structures are structural.
For example, in [1] examples of English sentence structures are given, and an example of logical inference on these structures.
"Whenever you have schemas `((every X) is Y)` and `(Z is X)` applied, i.e. X, Y, Z have a specific value, applying the first schema to the second gives `(Z is Y) `:
((every X) is Y), (Z is X) |= (Z is Y) --algorithm: {substitute Z instead of (every X)}"
Below I have given an example of substituting “structure” for “diagram” in your last letter.
Alex
[1] https://www.researchgate.net/publication/366216531_English_is_a_HOL_language_message_1X
The structures are fundamental, and the words are secondary. Whenever there is any dispute -- start with the structures. Formalisms, such as mathematical notations, always have a more direct mapping to structures than to words. Euclidean geometry is the best example. But any book that uses algebraic notations can always map the algebra more clearly and precisely to a structure than to any words in any natural language.
Re engineering structures: Anybody who can't read the engineering structure, can't understand a precise explanation written in their native language. Any simple explanation that they can understand is guaranteed to be an oversimplification. But if the engineering structure is carefully explained to them then they can and do understand the subject.
I know that point very well -- because I've done it. I also know that people who claim they understand a simple explanation, but cannot understand the structure don't know what they're talking about. If you ask them some simple questions about how the thing works, their answers are hopelessly confused. I know that because I've met such people.
If you doubt that point, try that exercise with people who claim that they understand the simple explanation.
The mapping to structures is especially important for robots. Every action by a robot has a direct mapping to and from some kind of structure.
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