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To help single out those discussion points reg. data item that might be due to terminological differences, I'd like to check whether what I understood from today's call is correct:iao:data items are to be understood are the output of measurements only.
Neither predictions nor specifications yield iao:data items, i.e. neither the prediction that tomorrow's average air temperature in a particular spot will be 30°C (as inferred from todays temperature and a meteorological model)
nor the information that for my next experiment my incubator should be set to 30°C is a iao:data item.
Is this understanding correct?
Agreed. I guess my point was that we should first agree on the definition of 'measurement datum' and the other classes before arguing if they belong under a parent.
Proposal for new definition:
A data item is an information content entity that is obtained as specified output of some measurement, simulation, prediction or in general a means of obtaining an estimate for a quality of something or specified as value of a quality of something that is refered to in a plan specification.I find it much harder to define a difference between (1) and (2) which means to draw a line between measurement and prediction. I can see that there is a difference between estimating the current air temperature in my backyard using a thermometer and estimating tomorrow's air temperature by today's and a meteorological model.So all of us seem to agree that there are three types of information content entities (and perhaps more and various ways to define subtypes):
(1) those that are the output of a measurement process (whatever this is - see below) and believed to measure something (let's call them measuring data items - MDIs)
(2) those that are the output of a prediction process (whatever this is - see below) and believed to predict something (let's call them predicting data items - PDIs)(3) those that are part of plans and recipes specifying setting or parameter values (let's call them settings data items - SDIs)
What is common to all of them is in my opinion that they are estimates of certain qualities (in many cases its qualities).
SDIs could perhaps be said to be different in that they specify qualities of things that they bear if they participate in a planned process that realizes a plan that is the concretization of a plan specification which the SDI is part of. So, the information that my incubator should be set at 30°C when performing an experiment of type EXP#1 specifies a quality of my incubator which it bears when it participates in a specific experiment of type EXP#1. If it is not at 30°C then the experiment performed is not of type EXP#1 (for all practical intents and purposes, we would allow a certain tolerance). For me, such a perspective accounts for both the 'directive' and 'descriptive' aspects of settings which Melanie described above (and which I see too).
But I suspect that it is a very slippery slope from clearcut 'measurement' to clearcut 'prediction, because any observation is interpreted on the background of models. Alan seems to propose a distinction along the lines of 'reliability of correctness' and/or 'timepoint of estimation relative to timepoint of actualization'.
I think neither of them is suitable: what is considered reliable may depend on context or discipline or indeed purpose.
Timepoint is dubious because we make estimations about events that are not 'now' in science all the time: the assertion that there was a huge meteor impact 65 Million years ago is a prediction inferred on the basis of a number of physical and geological theories.
And the biomedical sciences are no different: we use estimates of characteristics of biological entities from observations made in the past to interpret observations made later in time: any diagnosis in a practitioner's office is such an inference. Effectively we predict that patient X has measles because she shows symptoms similar to those of past patients typed as such.
Melanies example of protein structure is another such example: People started developing algorithms to infer 3D-structure on the basis of protein sequence and other characteristics (estimated with yet other methods). They have confidence in these algorithms because these were (I presume) trained using a number of proteins for which there were indeed 3D-structure estimates based on other methods considered adequately reliable (such as X-ray diffraction). Of course, in turn, X-ray diffraction first had to gain that status which it (presumably) gained when models of molecular structure were developed. Nevertheless, there could always be a protein for which a given algorithm fails (as well as another method of estimating its structure).
I think what is far more important, at least for the purpose of knowledge engineering using computational ontologies is to acknowledge that in both measurement and prediction we draw inferences from a background of observations and models (theories).
This background is for both 'measuring data items' and 'predicting data items' the basis for plausibility, re-use, further inferences etc. which is why representation of that background is needed in any case to assess the reliability of an estimate, regardless wether it is categorized as 'measurement' or 'prediction'.
Now, by which terms MDIs, PDIs and SDIs should be referenced we should discuss (why not using these) as well as any useful super-classes. I would opt for using 'data item' for any of the three (to me this seems a natural choice and in-sync with lab colleagues) and providing sub-classes as needed to distinguish SDIs and method- or objective-specific measurement/prediction data items as needed. This would require only few changes in IAO, provided that the textual definition fo data item is updated,
as I have argued before [1]:
Proposal for new definition:
A data item is an information content entity that is obtained as specified output of some measurement, simulation, prediction or in general a means of obtaining an estimate for a quality of something or specified as value of a quality of something that is refered to in a plan specification.
From: Alan Ruttenberg <alanrut...@gmail.com>Subject: Re: [Obi-devel] Data item - discussion points due to terminological differencesDate: 15 May, 2013 2:08:52 PM PDTTo: Christian Bölling <christian....@gmail.com>Cc: OBI Developers <obi-...@lists.sourceforge.net>, Barry Smith <phis...@buffalo.edu>, information-artifact-ontology <information-ar...@googlecode.com>, Werner Ceusters <ceus...@buffalo.edu>
On Wednesday, May 15, 2013, Christian Bölling wrote:I find it much harder to define a difference between (1) and (2) which means to draw a line between measurement and prediction. I can see that there is a difference between estimating the current air temperature in my backyard using a thermometer and estimating tomorrow's air temperature by today's and a meteorological model.So all of us seem to agree that there are three types of information content entities (and perhaps more and various ways to define subtypes):
(1) those that are the output of a measurement process (whatever this is - see below) and believed to measure something (let's call them measuring data items - MDIs)
(2) those that are the output of a prediction process (whatever this is - see below) and believed to predict something (let's call them predicting data items - PDIs)(3) those that are part of plans and recipes specifying setting or parameter values (let's call them settings data items - SDIs)
What is common to all of them is in my opinion that they are estimates of certain qualities (in many cases its qualities).
SDIs could perhaps be said to be different in that they specify qualities of things that they bear if they participate in a planned process that realizes a plan that is the concretization of a plan specification which the SDI is part of. So, the information that my incubator should be set at 30°C when performing an experiment of type EXP#1 specifies a quality of my incubator which it bears when it participates in a specific experiment of type EXP#1. If it is not at 30°C then the experiment performed is not of type EXP#1 (for all practical intents and purposes, we would allow a certain tolerance). For me, such a perspective accounts for both the 'directive' and 'descriptive' aspects of settings which Melanie described above (and which I see too).
Yes, but prediction has a much wider scope. It can include situations which depend on uncommon or even those which might never exist. For example, perfecting the change in oxygen production on the planet in the case of a 15 deg increase of planet temperature. Or what kinds of life could evolve on the conditions speculated upon to be present in the waters of the moons of Jupiter.
But I suspect that it is a very slippery slope from clearcut 'measurement' to clearcut 'prediction, because any observation is interpreted on the background of models. Alan seems to propose a distinction along the lines of 'reliability of correctness' and/or 'timepoint of estimation relative to timepoint of actualization'.A strong distinction, at least, between measurements of things that exist versus those that don't or might not.
I think neither of them is suitable: what is considered reliable may depend on context or discipline or indeed purpose.Yes. But in each field there are standards that amount to this, and an understanding of difference between measuring something now versus simulating something that might have been or might be.
Timepoint is dubious because we make estimations about events that are not 'now' in science all the time: the assertion that there was a huge meteor impact 65 Million years ago is a prediction inferred on the basis of a number of physical and geological theories.Yes. I don't think that would be a measurement unless if it wasn't by a method that had sufficient history and independent validation.And the biomedical sciences are no different: we use estimates of characteristics of biological entities from observations made in the past to interpret observations made later in time: any diagnosis in a practitioner's office is such an inference. Effectively we predict that patient X has measles because she shows symptoms similar to those of past patients typed as such.
Melanies example of protein structure is another such example: People started developing algorithms to infer 3D-structure on the basis of protein sequence and other characteristics (estimated with yet other methods). They have confidence in these algorithms because these were (I presume) trained using a number of proteins for which there were indeed 3D-structure estimates based on other methods considered adequately reliable (such as X-ray diffraction). Of course, in turn, X-ray diffraction first had to gain that status which it (presumably) gained when models of molecular structure were developed. Nevertheless, there could always be a protein for which a given algorithm fails (as well as another method of estimating its structure).Yes. We predict them. Based on measurements. The difference is sufficient that the language has clearly distinguished it.I think what is far more important, at least for the purpose of knowledge engineering using computational ontologies is to acknowledge that in both measurement and prediction we draw inferences from a background of observations and models (theories).Not all predictions are such.
This background is for both 'measuring data items' and 'predicting data items' the basis for plausibility, re-use, further inferences etc. which is why representation of that background is needed in any case to assess the reliability of an estimate, regardless wether it is categorized as 'measurement' or 'prediction'.
As you can tell, I don't agree.
Now, by which terms MDIs, PDIs and SDIs should be referenced we should discuss (why not using these) as well as any useful super-classes. I would opt for using 'data item' for any of the three (to me this seems a natural choice and in-sync with lab colleagues) and providing sub-classes as needed to distinguish SDIs and method- or objective-specific measurement/prediction data items as needed. This would require only few changes in IAO, provided that the textual definition fo data item is updated,The current data item term should remain. It is a useful distinction.
If you want to add a term, that seems reasonable, assuming a good definition. You could even perhaps borrow the existing label, but let's discuss this after you give your definition.as I have argued before [1]:
Proposal for new definition:A data item is an information content entity that is obtained as specified output of some measurement, simulation, prediction or in general a means of obtaining an estimate for a quality of something or specified as value of a quality of something that is refered to in a plan specification.This is a bare disjunction. Like: a fruit I like is an apple, orange or plum.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Begin forwarded message:From: Alan Ruttenberg <alanrut...@gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [Obi-devel] Data item - discussion points due to terminological differences
Date: 15 May, 2013 2:08:52 PM PDT
To: Christian Bölling <christian....@gmail.com>
Cc: OBI Developers <obi-...@lists.sourceforge.net>, Barry Smith <phis...@buffalo.edu>, information-artifact-ontology <information-ar...@googlecode.com>, Werner Ceusters <ceus...@buffalo.edu>
On Wednesday, May 15, 2013, Christian Bölling wrote:I find it much harder to define a difference between (1) and (2) which means to draw a line between measurement and prediction. I can see that there is a difference between estimating the current air temperature in my backyard using a thermometer and estimating tomorrow's air temperature by today's and a meteorological model.So all of us seem to agree that there are three types of information content entities (and perhaps more and various ways to define subtypes):
(1) those that are the output of a measurement process (whatever this is - see below) and believed to measure something (let's call them measuring data items - MDIs)
(2) those that are the output of a prediction process (whatever this is - see below) and believed to predict something (let's call them predicting data items - PDIs)(3) those that are part of plans and recipes specifying setting or parameter values (let's call them settings data items - SDIs)
What is common to all of them is in my opinion that they are estimates of certain qualities (in many cases its qualities).
SDIs could perhaps be said to be different in that they specify qualities of things that they bear if they participate in a planned process that realizes a plan that is the concretization of a plan specification which the SDI is part of. So, the information that my incubator should be set at 30°C when performing an experiment of type EXP#1 specifies a quality of my incubator which it bears when it participates in a specific experiment of type EXP#1. If it is not at 30°C then the experiment performed is not of type EXP#1 (for all practical intents and purposes, we would allow a certain tolerance). For me, such a perspective accounts for both the 'directive' and 'descriptive' aspects of settings which Melanie described above (and which I see too).
Yes, but prediction has a much wider scope. It can include situations which depend on uncommon or even those which might never exist. For example, perfecting the change in oxygen production on the planet in the case of a 15 deg increase of planet temperature. Or what kinds of life could evolve on the conditions speculated upon to be present in the waters of the moons of Jupiter.True, provided those predictions are " intended to be a truthful statement about something (modulo, e.g., measurement precision or other systematic errors) and constructed/acquired by a method which reliably tends to produce (approximately) truthful statements." as per the current definition of data item.
I can see how that may be an issue - I am not sure how to constrain "prediction" better. What would you suggest? Taking the protein structure example, this is a case that we need to be able to accommodate.
But I suspect that it is a very slippery slope from clearcut 'measurement' to clearcut 'prediction, because any observation is interpreted on the background of models. Alan seems to propose a distinction along the lines of 'reliability of correctness' and/or 'timepoint of estimation relative to timepoint of actualization'.A strong distinction, at least, between measurements of things that exist versus those that don't or might not.I think we all agree that there is a difference between measurement, prediction and specification, so that seems ok.I think neither of them is suitable: what is considered reliable may depend on context or discipline or indeed purpose.Yes. But in each field there are standards that amount to this, and an understanding of difference between measuring something now versus simulating something that might have been or might be.Timepoint is dubious because we make estimations about events that are not 'now' in science all the time: the assertion that there was a huge meteor impact 65 Million years ago is a prediction inferred on the basis of a number of physical and geological theories.Yes. I don't think that would be a measurement unless if it wasn't by a method that had sufficient history and independent validation.And the biomedical sciences are no different: we use estimates of characteristics of biological entities from observations made in the past to interpret observations made later in time: any diagnosis in a practitioner's office is such an inference. Effectively we predict that patient X has measles because she shows symptoms similar to those of past patients typed as such.
Melanies example of protein structure is another such example: People started developing algorithms to infer 3D-structure on the basis of protein sequence and other characteristics (estimated with yet other methods). They have confidence in these algorithms because these were (I presume) trained using a number of proteins for which there were indeed 3D-structure estimates based on other methods considered adequately reliable (such as X-ray diffraction). Of course, in turn, X-ray diffraction first had to gain that status which it (presumably) gained when models of molecular structure were developed. Nevertheless, there could always be a protein for which a given algorithm fails (as well as another method of estimating its structure).Yes. We predict them. Based on measurements. The difference is sufficient that the language has clearly distinguished it.I think what is far more important, at least for the purpose of knowledge engineering using computational ontologies is to acknowledge that in both measurement and prediction we draw inferences from a background of observations and models (theories).Not all predictions are such.Not all data item are truthful statements, however this is what IAO chose to represent and name data item. We just need to keep in line with that decision and accept that we call predictions those that are "intended to be a truthful statement about something (modulo, e.g., measurement precision or other systematic errors) and constructed/acquired by a method which reliably tends to produce (approximately) truthful statements."
This background is for both 'measuring data items' and 'predicting data items' the basis for plausibility, re-use, further inferences etc. which is why representation of that background is needed in any case to assess the reliability of an estimate, regardless wether it is categorized as 'measurement' or 'prediction'.
As you can tell, I don't agree.I agree with Christian. We on purpose discarded "false" data item, such as false claims. I still think this poses a problem, for example when a scientific claim is proven false several years later - it would imply that what was a data item is not anymore.
Now, by which terms MDIs, PDIs and SDIs should be referenced we should discuss (why not using these) as well as any useful super-classes. I would opt for using 'data item' for any of the three (to me this seems a natural choice and in-sync with lab colleagues) and providing sub-classes as needed to distinguish SDIs and method- or objective-specific measurement/prediction data items as needed. This would require only few changes in IAO, provided that the textual definition fo data item is updated,The current data item term should remain. It is a useful distinction.I am confused - which distinction are you referring to?
If you want to add a term, that seems reasonable, assuming a good definition. You could even perhaps borrow the existing label, but let's discuss this after you give your definition.as I have argued before [1]:
Proposal for new definition:A data item is an information content entity that is obtained as specified output of some measurement, simulation, prediction or in general a means of obtaining an estimate for a quality of something or specified as value of a quality of something that is refered to in a plan specification.This is a bare disjunction. Like: a fruit I like is an apple, orange or plum.I think we should concentrate on the current needed terms - measurement, prediction and specification and define those
Does it change anything at this point to have them be subclasses of data item or not? Note that OBI has positioned them (predicted data item and setting datum) there.
Melanie
The linked doc describes many of the aspects mentioned here in more detail. It proposes a number of design patterns and constructs for representation of data items and I'd be keen to discuss this further (it is still sketchy in many places) and develop together as a coherent proposal for changes to the ontology.
[1] https://docs.google.com/document/d/1zL0nW9RVqoC9sg6iajNZHex03JDnYUG4Q5F-e2rlZYg/- Christian
2013/5/14 Alan Ruttenberg <alanrut...@gmail.com>
On Tue, May 14, 2013 at 2:49 PM, Bjoern Peters <bpe...@liai.org> wrote:
Agreed. I guess my point was that we should first agree on the definition of 'measurement datum' and the other classes before arguing if they belong under a parent.
Yup
We already have a class 'data item'. There might be some other useful superclass, or we could decide to rename the current 'data item'. But the current 'data item' as-defined, won't be a parent of all three.-AlanOn Tue, May 14, 2013 at 12:45 PM, Bjoern Peters <bpe...@liai.org> wrote:
In my mind, we were going to define measurement datum, prediction, setting etc. separately, and later see if it is useful to have a parent class 'data item' for these.- Bjoern
On 2013-05-13, at 11:14 AM, Alan Ruttenberg wrote:
>
>
>
> On Mon, May 13, 2013 at 1:46 PM, Christian Bölling <christian....@gmail.com> wrote:
> To help single out those discussion points reg. data item that might be due to terminological differences, I'd like to check whether what I understood from today's call is correct:
>
> iao:data items are to be understood are the output of measurements only.
>
> No. There are other items which might be reliably correct, such as certain kinds of news reports, or the stock ticker. Or the price tags in a catalog.
>
> Neither predictions nor specifications yield iao:data items, i.e. neither the prediction that tomorrow's average air temperature in a particular spot will be 30°C (as inferred from todays temperature and a meteorological model)
>
> Correct. My interpretation is that because at the time your made the prediction, since the situation did not yet exist, it couldn't be about it. Let's copy this to the IAO list to see what other things. In any case, it isn't about the outside in the same way a measurement would be.
The current definition of data item is "a data item is an information content entity that is intended to be a truthful statement about something (modulo, e.g., measurement precision or other systematic errors) and is constructed/acquired by a method which reliably tends to produce (approximately) truthful statements."
If we consider the case of protein structure prediction, we do intend to make a truthful statement, it is about something (at least about the protein) and it is constructed by an expectedly reliable method (bioinformatics tools for example). I am not sure that the argument "the situation does not yet exist" is relevant, as the prediction is anyway about the software used, the experimenter etc, but in any case the protein may exist, may be folded and its structure is unknown - take for example GPCRs for which we have a pretty good idea of the structure but which are only slowly being crystalli
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
On Wednesday, May 15, 2013, Christian Bölling wrote:I find it much harder to define a difference between (1) and (2) which means to draw a line between measurement and prediction. I can see that there is a difference between estimating the current air temperature in my backyard using a thermometer and estimating tomorrow's air temperature by today's and a meteorological model.So all of us seem to agree that there are three types of information content entities (and perhaps more and various ways to define subtypes):
(1) those that are the output of a measurement process (whatever this is - see below) and believed to measure something (let's call them measuring data items - MDIs)
(2) those that are the output of a prediction process (whatever this is - see below) and believed to predict something (let's call them predicting data items - PDIs)(3) those that are part of plans and recipes specifying setting or parameter values (let's call them settings data items - SDIs)
What is common to all of them is in my opinion that they are estimates of certain qualities (in many cases its qualities).
SDIs could perhaps be said to be different in that they specify qualities of things that they bear if they participate in a planned process that realizes a plan that is the concretization of a plan specification which the SDI is part of. So, the information that my incubator should be set at 30°C when performing an experiment of type EXP#1 specifies a quality of my incubator which it bears when it participates in a specific experiment of type EXP#1. If it is not at 30°C then the experiment performed is not of type EXP#1 (for all practical intents and purposes, we would allow a certain tolerance). For me, such a perspective accounts for both the 'directive' and 'descriptive' aspects of settings which Melanie described above (and which I see too).
Yes, but prediction has a much wider scope. It can include situations which depend on uncommon or even those which might never exist. For example, perfecting the change in oxygen production on the planet in the case of a 15 deg increase of planet temperature. Or what kinds of life could evolve on the conditions speculated upon to be present in the waters of the moons of Jupiter.But I suspect that it is a very slippery slope from clearcut 'measurement' to clearcut 'prediction, because any observation is interpreted on the background of models. Alan seems to propose a distinction along the lines of 'reliability of correctness' and/or 'timepoint of estimation relative to timepoint of actualization'.A strong distinction, at least, between measurements of things that exist versus those that don't or might not.
I think neither of them is suitable: what is considered reliable may depend on context or discipline or indeed purpose.Yes. But in each field there are standards that amount to this, and an understanding of difference between measuring something now versus simulating something that might have been or might be.
Timepoint is dubious because we make estimations about events that are not 'now' in science all the time: the assertion that there was a huge meteor impact 65 Million years ago is a prediction inferred on the basis of a number of physical and geological theories.Yes. I don't think that would be a measurement unless if it wasn't by a method that had sufficient history and independent validation.And the biomedical sciences are no different: we use estimates of characteristics of biological entities from observations made in the past to interpret observations made later in time: any diagnosis in a practitioner's office is such an inference. Effectively we predict that patient X has measles because she shows symptoms similar to those of past patients typed as such.
Melanies example of protein structure is another such example: People started developing algorithms to infer 3D-structure on the basis of protein sequence and other characteristics (estimated with yet other methods). They have confidence in these algorithms because these were (I presume) trained using a number of proteins for which there were indeed 3D-structure estimates based on other methods considered adequately reliable (such as X-ray diffraction). Of course, in turn, X-ray diffraction first had to gain that status which it (presumably) gained when models of molecular structure were developed. Nevertheless, there could always be a protein for which a given algorithm fails (as well as another method of estimating its structure).Yes. We predict them. Based on measurements. The difference is sufficient that the language has clearly distinguished it.
I think what is far more important, at least for the purpose of knowledge engineering using computational ontologies is to acknowledge that in both measurement and prediction we draw inferences from a background of observations and models (theories).Not all predictions are such.
This background is for both 'measuring data items' and 'predicting data items' the basis for plausibility, re-use, further inferences etc. which is why representation of that background is needed in any case to assess the reliability of an estimate, regardless wether it is categorized as 'measurement' or 'prediction'.
As you can tell, I don't agree.Now, by which terms MDIs, PDIs and SDIs should be referenced we should discuss (why not using these) as well as any useful super-classes. I would opt for using 'data item' for any of the three (to me this seems a natural choice and in-sync with lab colleagues) and providing sub-classes as needed to distinguish SDIs and method- or objective-specific measurement/prediction data items as needed. This would require only few changes in IAO, provided that the textual definition fo data item is updated,The current data item term should remain. It is a useful distinction. If you want to add a term, that seems reasonable, assuming a good definition. You could even perhaps borrow the existing label, but let's discuss this after you give your definition.as I have argued before [1]:
Proposal for new definition:
A data item is an information content entity that is obtained as specified output of some measurement, simulation, prediction or in general a means of obtaining an estimate for a quality of something or specified as value of a quality of something that is refered to in a plan specification.This is a bare disjunction. Like: a fruit I like is an apple, orange or plum.
Two points:1. Some predictions are rock solid: we can predict very precisely where Jupiter, Saturn, there moons, etc. will be tomorrow, a week from now, a year from now (barring some unforeseen cataclysm, but it's been working for awhile :-)
2. Uncertainty about the present does not relate to prediction in any way. If I simply don't know whether it rained in Boston tomorrow, but I'm 60% sure it did for some reason, that's no prediction. That's just my lack of certainty about how the world really is/was.3. Which means that uncertainty about what WILL happen is fundamentally different from uncertainty about now/past.
On Thu, May 16, 2013 at 9:38 AM, Bill Hogan <hog...@gmail.com> wrote:
Two points:1. Some predictions are rock solid: we can predict very precisely where Jupiter, Saturn, there moons, etc. will be tomorrow, a week from now, a year from now (barring some unforeseen cataclysm, but it's been working for awhile :-)Agreed. But they are still not measurements.
>> <hog...@gmail.com<javascript:_e({}, 'cvml', 'hog...@gmail.com');>
>> > wrote:It's a thin line. If I measure something, then use a calculation to work
>>
>>> Two points:
>>>
>>> 1. Some predictions are rock solid: we can predict very precisely where
>>> Jupiter, Saturn, there moons, etc. will be tomorrow, a week from now, a
>>> year from now (barring some unforeseen cataclysm, but it's been working for
>>> awhile :-)
>>>
>>
>> Agreed. But they are still not measurements.
>>
>
> I agree too.
out another value, this is some derived data.
But, say I measure voltage my measuring current across a known resistor,
is this derived? Or an implementation detail of my volt meter.
If I how quickly a gap is disappearing, and say "the gap will be gone
tomorrow" is this not just a measurement with an unusual unit.
And not necessarily that unusual. Most electrical hardware comes with a
mean-time-to-failure -- but this is not a prediction, it's a
measurement, based on actual performance, in much the same way that
power consumption is.
Just because something concerns events in the
future doesn't mean that it is actually, a prediction.
The same issue holds we "predicted proteins"; this is an interpretation
of a measure. We are not saying "we predict that this protein will occur
in the future". We are saying that we have measured some properties of
this piece of DNA, and are translating it in a particular way.
As always, the issue is not black and white. Having a roughly
appropriate rule of thumb, and then seeing if it works in practice,
whether it is actually useful seems the way forward to me.
Phil
Alan Ruttenberg <alanrut...@gmail.com> writes:
>> But, say I measure voltage my measuring current across a known resistor,
>> is this derived? Or an implementation detail of my volt meter.
>>
>
> The voltage is a proxy for the thing. This can be represented in OBI should
> you wish to add the detail.
As predictions of the future can be a proxy for the present.
>
>
>> If I how quickly a gap is disappearing, and say "the gap will be gone
>> tomorrow" is this not just a measurement with an unusual unit.
>>
>
> I don't think so.
>
>
>>
>> And not necessarily that unusual. Most electrical hardware comes with a
>> mean-time-to-failure -- but this is not a prediction, it's a
>> measurement, based on actual performance, in much the same way that
>> power consumption is.
>
>
> Yes, but it is a measurement that is made on a population. Since there is a
> single device it can't possibly a property of the single device.
1Tb hard drive.
60W light bulb.
>> Just because something concerns events in the
>> future doesn't mean that it is actually, a prediction.
>>
>
> Well, yes, it does.
Q. How far is it to to the shops?
A. Well, on foot, it will take you five minutes.
Prediction? I think not.
>> The same issue holds we "predicted proteins"; this is an interpretation
>> of a measure. We are not saying "we predict that this protein will occur
>> in the future". We are saying that we have measured some properties of
>> this piece of DNA, and are translating it in a particular way.
>>
>
> Yes, but a predicted protein is not is_a protein. It is a prediction. You
> know it is a prediction because it has the possibility of decisively being
> rejected.
Yesterday, I predict that you had beans on toast for lunch. Decisive
rejection doesn't demonstrate that it's a prediction.
A predicted protein is not the same as a weather prediction. The
first is a statement about a property of today that we may measure
in the future; the other is a statement today about the future of a
property, that we may measure.
That the two are different is easy to demonstate. The measurement about
tomorrows weather prediction can only be made tomorrow.
The measurement
that demonstates a predicted protein exists could be made tomorrow. Or
today. Or we could have made it last week, but not intepreted the
results yet.
So, a predicted protein is not a prediction. It's a possibility.
Phil